**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on September 2 centers on the 25–26°C range (combined ~91% implied probability) due to the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 26–30°C amid active weather.** Tropical cyclone Sadell traversing the northern South China Sea and interacting with the northeast monsoon is driving stronger northerly to northwesterly winds (4–5, occasionally 6 Beaufort offshore) and periods of squally showers with thunderstorms, which increase cloud cover and limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Multiple numerical models show early-morning minima clustered near 24–26°C depending on exact timing of rain and wind mixing, creating genuine uncertainty around the precise overnight low at official stations. Fresh model runs and HKO updates through the night will likely determine whether the minimum settles at 25°C or 26°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
26°C 54%
25°C 48%
23°C 5.0%
24°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
5%
24°C
4%
25°C
53%
26°C
45%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 54%
25°C 48%
23°C 5.0%
24°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
$299 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$487 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$952 Vol.
5%
24°C
$560 Vol.
4%
25°C
$677 Vol.
53%
26°C
$1,478 Vol.
45%
27°C
$996 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$234 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$324 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on September 2 centers on the 25–26°C range (combined ~91% implied probability) due to the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 26–30°C amid active weather.** Tropical cyclone Sadell traversing the northern South China Sea and interacting with the northeast monsoon is driving stronger northerly to northwesterly winds (4–5, occasionally 6 Beaufort offshore) and periods of squally showers with thunderstorms, which increase cloud cover and limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Multiple numerical models show early-morning minima clustered near 24–26°C depending on exact timing of rain and wind mixing, creating genuine uncertainty around the precise overnight low at official stations. Fresh model runs and HKO updates through the night will likely determine whether the minimum settles at 25°C or 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,868Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on September 2 centers on the 25–26°C range (combined ~91% implied probability) due to the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 26–30°C amid active weather.** Tropical cyclone Sadell traversing the northern South China Sea and interacting with the northeast monsoon is driving stronger northerly to northwesterly winds (4–5, occasionally 6 Beaufort offshore) and periods of squally showers with thunderstorms, which increase cloud cover and limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Multiple numerical models show early-morning minima clustered near 24–26°C depending on exact timing of rain and wind mixing, creating genuine uncertainty around the precise overnight low at official stations. Fresh model runs and HKO updates through the night will likely determine whether the minimum settles at 25°C or 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,868Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on September 2 centers on the 25–26°C range (combined ~91% implied probability) due to the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of 26–30°C amid active weather.** Tropical cyclone Sadell traversing the northern South China Sea and interacting with the northeast monsoon is driving stronger northerly to northwesterly winds (4–5, occasionally 6 Beaufort offshore) and periods of squally showers with thunderstorms, which increase cloud cover and limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Multiple numerical models show early-morning minima clustered near 24–26°C depending on exact timing of rain and wind mixing, creating genuine uncertainty around the precise overnight low at official stations. Fresh model runs and HKO updates through the night will likely determine whether the minimum settles at 25°C or 26°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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