Official National Weather Service observations from Los Angeles International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 69°F on August 21, 2026, four degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 65°F and consistent with surrounding readings near 70°F downtown. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow under weak high pressure suppressed nocturnal cooling, aligning with typical late-summer climatology for the Los Angeles Basin. This verified data, released shortly after the period closed, produced the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for a 68–69°F low. A meaningful shift would require either a revised official reading at the designated station or an alternative resolution criterion, both highly improbable given the direct measurements.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 21?
68-69°F 99.5%
64-65°F 1.0%
66-67°F 1.0%
61°F or below <1%
$5,365 Vol.
$5,365 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
68-69°F 99.5%
64-65°F 1.0%
66-67°F 1.0%
61°F or below <1%
$5,365 Vol.
$5,365 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
61°F or below
$235 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$149 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$35 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$36 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$274 Vol.
Yes
70-71°F
$718 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$2,181 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$811 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$180 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$465 Vol.
No
80°F or higher
$280 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Los Angeles International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 69°F on August 21, 2026, four degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 65°F and consistent with surrounding readings near 70°F downtown. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow under weak high pressure suppressed nocturnal cooling, aligning with typical late-summer climatology for the Los Angeles Basin. This verified data, released shortly after the period closed, produced the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for a 68–69°F low. A meaningful shift would require either a revised official reading at the designated station or an alternative resolution criterion, both highly improbable given the direct measurements.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$5,365Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Los Angeles International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 69°F on August 21, 2026, four degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 65°F and consistent with surrounding readings near 70°F downtown. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow under weak high pressure suppressed nocturnal cooling, aligning with typical late-summer climatology for the Los Angeles Basin. This verified data, released shortly after the period closed, produced the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for a 68–69°F low. A meaningful shift would require either a revised official reading at the designated station or an alternative resolution criterion, both highly improbable given the direct measurements.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,365Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Los Angeles International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 69°F on August 21, 2026, four degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 65°F and consistent with surrounding readings near 70°F downtown. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow under weak high pressure suppressed nocturnal cooling, aligning with typical late-summer climatology for the Los Angeles Basin. This verified data, released shortly after the period closed, produced the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for a 68–69°F low. A meaningful shift would require either a revised official reading at the designated station or an alternative resolution criterion, both highly improbable given the direct measurements.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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