Current forecast models indicate Manila's minimum temperature on September 24 will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 24–28°C due to limited overnight radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and scattered thunderstorms suppress temperature drops by trapping heat and limiting clear-sky heat loss, typical for the region's southwest monsoon season. Official guidance from agencies like PAGASA shows overnight lows stabilizing near 25–26°C amid light winds and dew points around 24°C, while daytime peaks reach 30–31°C. Model runs show only modest variability from steering patterns or precipitation timing, keeping probabilities for extremes below 10% and reflecting genuine uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds amid evolving conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Manila on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 24?
21°C or below 77%
22°C 77%
23°C 77%
26°C 55%
BARU
BARU
Sep 24, 2026
21°C or below
77%
22°C
77%
23°C
77%
24°C
46%
25°C
41%
26°C
55%
27°C
42%
28°C
48%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 77%
22°C 77%
23°C 77%
26°C 55%
BARU
BARU
Sep 24, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
77%
22°C
$0 Vol.
77%
23°C
$0 Vol.
77%
24°C
$0 Vol.
46%
25°C
$0 Vol.
41%
26°C
$0 Vol.
55%
27°C
$0 Vol.
42%
28°C
$0 Vol.
48%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate Manila's minimum temperature on September 24 will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 24–28°C due to limited overnight radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and scattered thunderstorms suppress temperature drops by trapping heat and limiting clear-sky heat loss, typical for the region's southwest monsoon season. Official guidance from agencies like PAGASA shows overnight lows stabilizing near 25–26°C amid light winds and dew points around 24°C, while daytime peaks reach 30–31°C. Model runs show only modest variability from steering patterns or precipitation timing, keeping probabilities for extremes below 10% and reflecting genuine uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds amid evolving conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$20Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate Manila's minimum temperature on September 24 will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 24–28°C due to limited overnight radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and scattered thunderstorms suppress temperature drops by trapping heat and limiting clear-sky heat loss, typical for the region's southwest monsoon season. Official guidance from agencies like PAGASA shows overnight lows stabilizing near 25–26°C amid light winds and dew points around 24°C, while daytime peaks reach 30–31°C. Model runs show only modest variability from steering patterns or precipitation timing, keeping probabilities for extremes below 10% and reflecting genuine uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds amid evolving conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47de9d...Current forecast models indicate Manila's minimum temperature on September 24 will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 24–28°C due to limited overnight radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and scattered thunderstorms suppress temperature drops by trapping heat and limiting clear-sky heat loss, typical for the region's southwest monsoon season. Official guidance from agencies like PAGASA shows overnight lows stabilizing near 25–26°C amid light winds and dew points around 24°C, while daytime peaks reach 30–31°C. Model runs show only modest variability from steering patterns or precipitation timing, keeping probabilities for extremes below 10% and reflecting genuine uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds amid evolving conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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