Forecast models from the National Weather Service and guidance such as GFS MOS indicate Miami overnight lows of 80–82 °F for the period ending August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 76–78 °F. These conditions suppress the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping the daily minimum within the narrow 80–83 °F range that accounts for over three-quarters of current market-implied odds. Minor model spread in cloud cover and shower timing creates the tight contest between the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins, while historical August climatology at Miami International Airport shows similar warm lows during comparable humid regimes. Official observations from KMIA will resolve the market once the calendar day ends.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Miami on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 23?
80-81°F 43%
82-83°F 34%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 43%
82-83°F 34%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
$5 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$5 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
9%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
14%
80-81°F
$16 Vol.
43%
82-83°F
$1 Vol.
34%
84-85°F
$53 Vol.
9%
86-87°F
$10 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$10 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and guidance such as GFS MOS indicate Miami overnight lows of 80–82 °F for the period ending August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 76–78 °F. These conditions suppress the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping the daily minimum within the narrow 80–83 °F range that accounts for over three-quarters of current market-implied odds. Minor model spread in cloud cover and shower timing creates the tight contest between the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins, while historical August climatology at Miami International Airport shows similar warm lows during comparable humid regimes. Official observations from KMIA will resolve the market once the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$116Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and guidance such as GFS MOS indicate Miami overnight lows of 80–82 °F for the period ending August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 76–78 °F. These conditions suppress the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping the daily minimum within the narrow 80–83 °F range that accounts for over three-quarters of current market-implied odds. Minor model spread in cloud cover and shower timing creates the tight contest between the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins, while historical August climatology at Miami International Airport shows similar warm lows during comparable humid regimes. Official observations from KMIA will resolve the market once the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$116Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and guidance such as GFS MOS indicate Miami overnight lows of 80–82 °F for the period ending August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 76–78 °F. These conditions suppress the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping the daily minimum within the narrow 80–83 °F range that accounts for over three-quarters of current market-implied odds. Minor model spread in cloud cover and shower timing creates the tight contest between the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins, while historical August climatology at Miami International Airport shows similar warm lows during comparable humid regimes. Official observations from KMIA will resolve the market once the calendar day ends.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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