**Current short-range forecast models indicate a Paris minimum temperature of 16–17°C on September 3, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes.** Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h and dew points near 13–15°C, limiting further drops. Minor model spread arises from small differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions favor the lower end near 16°C while any increase in humidity or wind could hold readings at 17–18°C. Historical September 3 lows average 13°C, but recent years have trended warmer, and no significant cold advection is expected before the observation window closes. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 3?
17°C 32%
16°C 31%
18°C 19%
15°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
11°C or below
4%
12°C
6%
13°C
5%
14°C
6%
15°C
15%
16°C
31%
17°C
32%
18°C
19%
19°C
6%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
2%
17°C 32%
16°C 31%
18°C 19%
15°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
11°C or below
$232 Vol.
4%
12°C
$25 Vol.
6%
13°C
$26 Vol.
5%
14°C
$0 Vol.
6%
15°C
$50 Vol.
15%
16°C
$1,673 Vol.
31%
17°C
$82 Vol.
32%
18°C
$14 Vol.
19%
19°C
$41 Vol.
6%
20°C
$5 Vol.
8%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecast models indicate a Paris minimum temperature of 16–17°C on September 3, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes.**
Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h and dew points near 13–15°C, limiting further drops. Minor model spread arises from small differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions favor the lower end near 16°C while any increase in humidity or wind could hold readings at 17–18°C. Historical September 3 lows average 13°C, but recent years have trended warmer, and no significant cold advection is expected before the observation window closes. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,154Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecast models indicate a Paris minimum temperature of 16–17°C on September 3, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes.**
Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h and dew points near 13–15°C, limiting further drops. Minor model spread arises from small differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions favor the lower end near 16°C while any increase in humidity or wind could hold readings at 17–18°C. Historical September 3 lows average 13°C, but recent years have trended warmer, and no significant cold advection is expected before the observation window closes. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,154Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-range forecast models indicate a Paris minimum temperature of 16–17°C on September 3, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes.** Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h and dew points near 13–15°C, limiting further drops. Minor model spread arises from small differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions favor the lower end near 16°C while any increase in humidity or wind could hold readings at 17–18°C. Historical September 3 lows average 13°C, but recent years have trended warmer, and no significant cold advection is expected before the observation window closes. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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