Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and regional analyses, indicate a minimum temperature in Qingdao on September 1 around 21–22°C under clear to mostly clear skies and moderate northerly winds. This reflects the seasonal shift from peak summer warmth, with coastal moderation limiting overnight cooling despite typical diurnal ranges. Trader sentiment, with 16°C or below at 49.5% implied probability leading amid clustered odds near 20–22°C, captures forecast uncertainty and potential model variability in exact minimums, consistent with historical early-September lows averaging near 18–21°C. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 1?
16°C or below 95%
18°C 50%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
16°C or below
95%
17°C
47%
18°C
50%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
49%
23°C
2%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C or higher
48%
16°C or below 95%
18°C 50%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
95%
17°C
$0 Vol.
47%
18°C
$0 Vol.
50%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
50%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and regional analyses, indicate a minimum temperature in Qingdao on September 1 around 21–22°C under clear to mostly clear skies and moderate northerly winds. This reflects the seasonal shift from peak summer warmth, with coastal moderation limiting overnight cooling despite typical diurnal ranges. Trader sentiment, with 16°C or below at 49.5% implied probability leading amid clustered odds near 20–22°C, captures forecast uncertainty and potential model variability in exact minimums, consistent with historical early-September lows averaging near 18–21°C. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and regional analyses, indicate a minimum temperature in Qingdao on September 1 around 21–22°C under clear to mostly clear skies and moderate northerly winds. This reflects the seasonal shift from peak summer warmth, with coastal moderation limiting overnight cooling despite typical diurnal ranges. Trader sentiment, with 16°C or below at 49.5% implied probability leading amid clustered odds near 20–22°C, captures forecast uncertainty and potential model variability in exact minimums, consistent with historical early-September lows averaging near 18–21°C. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and regional analyses, indicate a minimum temperature in Qingdao on September 1 around 21–22°C under clear to mostly clear skies and moderate northerly winds. This reflects the seasonal shift from peak summer warmth, with coastal moderation limiting overnight cooling despite typical diurnal ranges. Trader sentiment, with 16°C or below at 49.5% implied probability leading amid clustered odds near 20–22°C, captures forecast uncertainty and potential model variability in exact minimums, consistent with historical early-September lows averaging near 18–21°C. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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