Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Tel Aviv minimum temperatures on September 26 likely ranging 22–24 °C under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and clear to mostly clear skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This places the expected overnight low near long-term September climatology, yet small variations in boundary-layer mixing, coastal sea-breeze timing, or dew-point advection can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. With market-implied probabilities nearly even between sub-18 °C and 28 °C-plus outcomes, traders appear to be pricing in residual model spread and the possibility of an unseasonal cool surge or warmer downslope flow, both of which remain low-probability but would decisively alter resolution. Updated short-range model runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could narrow the distribution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 26?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 26?
18°C or below 99%
28°C or higher 98%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 26, 2026
18°C or below
99%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C or higher
98%
18°C or below 99%
28°C or higher 98%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 26, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
99%
19°C
$0 Vol.
39%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Tel Aviv minimum temperatures on September 26 likely ranging 22–24 °C under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and clear to mostly clear skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This places the expected overnight low near long-term September climatology, yet small variations in boundary-layer mixing, coastal sea-breeze timing, or dew-point advection can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. With market-implied probabilities nearly even between sub-18 °C and 28 °C-plus outcomes, traders appear to be pricing in residual model spread and the possibility of an unseasonal cool surge or warmer downslope flow, both of which remain low-probability but would decisively alter resolution. Updated short-range model runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could narrow the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Tel Aviv minimum temperatures on September 26 likely ranging 22–24 °C under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and clear to mostly clear skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This places the expected overnight low near long-term September climatology, yet small variations in boundary-layer mixing, coastal sea-breeze timing, or dew-point advection can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. With market-implied probabilities nearly even between sub-18 °C and 28 °C-plus outcomes, traders appear to be pricing in residual model spread and the possibility of an unseasonal cool surge or warmer downslope flow, both of which remain low-probability but would decisively alter resolution. Updated short-range model runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could narrow the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Tel Aviv minimum temperatures on September 26 likely ranging 22–24 °C under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and clear to mostly clear skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This places the expected overnight low near long-term September climatology, yet small variations in boundary-layer mixing, coastal sea-breeze timing, or dew-point advection can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. With market-implied probabilities nearly even between sub-18 °C and 28 °C-plus outcomes, traders appear to be pricing in residual model spread and the possibility of an unseasonal cool surge or warmer downslope flow, both of which remain low-probability but would decisively alter resolution. Updated short-range model runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could narrow the distribution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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