Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from the Japan Meteorological Agency, indicate the September 3 minimum in Tokyo will likely fall near 24–25 °C amid persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70–85 %, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling overnight. Southwesterly flow and a developing frontal boundary are suppressing the typical early-September diurnal range, keeping overnight lows from dropping below 23 °C while daytime maxima hover around 29–30 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the market’s concentration on 24–26 °C outcomes, though any late timing shift in precipitation could nudge the minimum a degree either way before the day ends.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 3?
25°C 43%
24°C 31%
26°C 16%
27°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
6%
24°C
31%
25°C
43%
26°C
16%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
25°C 43%
24°C 31%
26°C 16%
27°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
$251 Vol.
4%
22°C
$60 Vol.
5%
23°C
$61 Vol.
6%
24°C
$147 Vol.
31%
25°C
$6 Vol.
43%
26°C
$0 Vol.
16%
27°C
$47 Vol.
8%
28°C
$34 Vol.
3%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from the Japan Meteorological Agency, indicate the September 3 minimum in Tokyo will likely fall near 24–25 °C amid persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70–85 %, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling overnight. Southwesterly flow and a developing frontal boundary are suppressing the typical early-September diurnal range, keeping overnight lows from dropping below 23 °C while daytime maxima hover around 29–30 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the market’s concentration on 24–26 °C outcomes, though any late timing shift in precipitation could nudge the minimum a degree either way before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$621Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from the Japan Meteorological Agency, indicate the September 3 minimum in Tokyo will likely fall near 24–25 °C amid persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70–85 %, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling overnight. Southwesterly flow and a developing frontal boundary are suppressing the typical early-September diurnal range, keeping overnight lows from dropping below 23 °C while daytime maxima hover around 29–30 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the market’s concentration on 24–26 °C outcomes, though any late timing shift in precipitation could nudge the minimum a degree either way before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$621Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from the Japan Meteorological Agency, indicate the September 3 minimum in Tokyo will likely fall near 24–25 °C amid persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70–85 %, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling overnight. Southwesterly flow and a developing frontal boundary are suppressing the typical early-September diurnal range, keeping overnight lows from dropping below 23 °C while daytime maxima hover around 29–30 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the market’s concentration on 24–26 °C outcomes, though any late timing shift in precipitation could nudge the minimum a degree either way before the day ends.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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