Google's persistent delay of Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment. Announced at I/O in May 2026 with a June target, the frontier model slipped to July for additional testing and partner feedback, then stayed in "coming soon" status through September while Google shipped multiple 3.8 Flash variants and confirmed training had begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4. This pattern of iterative Flash and specialized releases without a Pro launch has pushed market-implied odds toward no release by early November. Key near-term catalysts include any official confirmation of 3.5 Pro general availability or further details on Gemini 4's pre-training timeline, both of which could shift probabilities if product goals or competitive pressure accelerate rollout.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$1,361,765 Vol.
Oct 15, 2026
September 30
4%
October 9
17%
October 15
34%
October 23
65%
October 31
80%
$1,361,765 Vol.
September 30
$129,836 Vol.
4%
October 9
$2,115 Vol.
17%
October 15
$21,691 Vol.
34%
October 23
$1,517 Vol.
65%
October 31
$37,949 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's persistent delay of Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment. Announced at I/O in May 2026 with a June target, the frontier model slipped to July for additional testing and partner feedback, then stayed in "coming soon" status through September while Google shipped multiple 3.8 Flash variants and confirmed training had begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4. This pattern of iterative Flash and specialized releases without a Pro launch has pushed market-implied odds toward no release by early November. Key near-term catalysts include any official confirmation of 3.5 Pro general availability or further details on Gemini 4's pre-training timeline, both of which could shift probabilities if product goals or competitive pressure accelerate rollout.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,361,765Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's persistent delay of Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment. Announced at I/O in May 2026 with a June target, the frontier model slipped to July for additional testing and partner feedback, then stayed in "coming soon" status through September while Google shipped multiple 3.8 Flash variants and confirmed training had begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4. This pattern of iterative Flash and specialized releases without a Pro launch has pushed market-implied odds toward no release by early November. Key near-term catalysts include any official confirmation of 3.5 Pro general availability or further details on Gemini 4's pre-training timeline, both of which could shift probabilities if product goals or competitive pressure accelerate rollout.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,361,765Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070be91...Google's persistent delay of Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment. Announced at I/O in May 2026 with a June target, the frontier model slipped to July for additional testing and partner feedback, then stayed in "coming soon" status through September while Google shipped multiple 3.8 Flash variants and confirmed training had begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4. This pattern of iterative Flash and specialized releases without a Pro launch has pushed market-implied odds toward no release by early November. Key near-term catalysts include any official confirmation of 3.5 Pro general availability or further details on Gemini 4's pre-training timeline, both of which could shift probabilities if product goals or competitive pressure accelerate rollout.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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