Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic lean and her established voter base. Lee secured the Democratic nomination easily in the May primary and previously won the seat with 56.4 percent in 2024. Republican nominee James Hayes has not generated significant momentum or outside support to close the gap. Trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket prices the Democratic outcome above 94 percent, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPA-12 House Election Winner
PA-12 House Election Winner
$16,307 Vol.
$16,307 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$16,307 Vol.
$16,307 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,658 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$4,649 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic lean and her established voter base. Lee secured the Democratic nomination easily in the May primary and previously won the seat with 56.4 percent in 2024. Republican nominee James Hayes has not generated significant momentum or outside support to close the gap. Trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket prices the Democratic outcome above 94 percent, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$16,307Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic lean and her established voter base. Lee secured the Democratic nomination easily in the May primary and previously won the seat with 56.4 percent in 2024. Republican nominee James Hayes has not generated significant momentum or outside support to close the gap. Trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket prices the Democratic outcome above 94 percent, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,307Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic lean and her established voter base. Lee secured the Democratic nomination easily in the May primary and previously won the seat with 56.4 percent in 2024. Republican nominee James Hayes has not generated significant momentum or outside support to close the gap. Trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket prices the Democratic outcome above 94 percent, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan