Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee 1st Congressional District race due to the district's deep Republican tilt, reflected in its R+29 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 29.5-point margin there in 2024. Harshbarger won her August 6 primary unopposed and has secured reelection with roughly 78% in prior cycles, while Republicans have controlled the seat continuously since 1881. Her substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $1 million compared to Democrat Kristi Burke's roughly $100,000, further reinforces trader consensus. Burke won her August primary but faces structural barriers in this solidly Republican district. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current fundamentals make such outcomes improbable before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTN-01 House Election Winner
TN-01 House Election Winner
$27,113 Vol.
$27,113 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Diana Harshbarger (R)
97%
Kristi Burke (D)
4%
$27,113 Vol.
$27,113 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Diana Harshbarger (R)
$21,678 Vol.
97%
Kristi Burke (D)
$5,435 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee 1st Congressional District race due to the district's deep Republican tilt, reflected in its R+29 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 29.5-point margin there in 2024. Harshbarger won her August 6 primary unopposed and has secured reelection with roughly 78% in prior cycles, while Republicans have controlled the seat continuously since 1881. Her substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $1 million compared to Democrat Kristi Burke's roughly $100,000, further reinforces trader consensus. Burke won her August primary but faces structural barriers in this solidly Republican district. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current fundamentals make such outcomes improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$27,113Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee 1st Congressional District race due to the district's deep Republican tilt, reflected in its R+29 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 29.5-point margin there in 2024. Harshbarger won her August 6 primary unopposed and has secured reelection with roughly 78% in prior cycles, while Republicans have controlled the seat continuously since 1881. Her substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $1 million compared to Democrat Kristi Burke's roughly $100,000, further reinforces trader consensus. Burke won her August primary but faces structural barriers in this solidly Republican district. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current fundamentals make such outcomes improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,113Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee 1st Congressional District race due to the district's deep Republican tilt, reflected in its R+29 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 29.5-point margin there in 2024. Harshbarger won her August 6 primary unopposed and has secured reelection with roughly 78% in prior cycles, while Republicans have controlled the seat continuously since 1881. Her substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $1 million compared to Democrat Kristi Burke's roughly $100,000, further reinforces trader consensus. Burke won her August primary but faces structural barriers in this solidly Republican district. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current fundamentals make such outcomes improbable before the November 3 general election.
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