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Elezioni·Primarie

Vincitori primari CA-17

Market icon
Elezioni·Primarie

Vincitori primari CA-17

$48,313 Vol.

2 giu 2026
Polymarket

$48,313 Vol.

Polymarket

Ro Khanna

$10,573 Vol.

78%

Ethan Agarwal

$1,216 Vol.

57%

Ritesh Tandon

$5,606 Vol.

19%

Ha Phan

$8,186 Vol.

23%

Nicholas Finan

$22,732 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Ro Khanna commands 87% trader consensus to advance from California's CA-17 top-two primary on June 2, buoyed by his entrenched incumbency in the solidly Democratic D+21 district encompassing Silicon Valley suburbs, where no recent polling challenges his dominance. Challenger Ethan Agarwal, also Democratic and a small business owner, holds 62% implied probability for the second spot, propelled by his early March campaign launch criticizing Khanna's stock trading disclosures and billionaire tax advocacy, alongside emerging tech sector backing amid fundraising through the March 6 filing deadline. Republicans Jennie Ha Phan (24%) and Ritesh Tandon (18%) trail, reflecting the district's partisan math, with certified candidate lists finalized March 26 and low enthusiasm for GOP advances in this safe seat.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$48,313
Data di fine
2 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 29, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Ro Khanna commands 87% trader consensus to advance from California's CA-17 top-two primary on June 2, buoyed by his entrenched incumbency in the solidly Democratic D+21 district encompassing Silicon Valley suburbs, where no recent polling challenges his dominance. Challenger Ethan Agarwal, also Democratic and a small business owner, holds 62% implied probability for the second spot, propelled by his early March campaign launch criticizing Khanna's stock trading disclosures and billionaire tax advocacy, alongside emerging tech sector backing amid fundraising through the March 6 filing deadline. Republicans Jennie Ha Phan (24%) and Ritesh Tandon (18%) trail, reflecting the district's partisan math, with certified candidate lists finalized March 26 and low enthusiasm for GOP advances in this safe seat.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$48,313
Data di fine
2 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 29, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitori primari CA-17" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Ro Khanna" a 78%, seguito da "Ethan Agarwal" a 57%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 78¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 78% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitori primari CA-17" ha generato $48.3K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 29, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitori primari CA-17", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitori primari CA-17" è "Ro Khanna" a 78%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 78% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Ethan Agarwal" a 57%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitori primari CA-17" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.