Credible reporting from The Information yesterday revealed Anthropic is testing Claude Opus 4.7 and preparing an imminent launch—potentially bundled with a new AI-powered design tool—as soon as this week, propelling the market-implied probability of release on or before today, April 16, to 80.5% as trader consensus aggregates on this catalyst. Supporting leaks from Anthropic's Claude Code npm package earlier this month confirmed internal references to Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.8, underscoring accelerated development post-Opus 4.6's February rollout amid fierce competition with OpenAI's GPT iterations and Google's Gemini. While no official announcement has surfaced, historical patterns show Anthropic's rapid cadence, though product timelines can slip; watch for developer API updates or claude.ai deployment as key resolution triggers, with 11.6% odds spilling to April 17.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoClaude 4.7 rilasciato il...?
Claude 4.7 rilasciato il...?
On or prior to April 16 81%
April 17 11.5%
April 18 3.3%
Not released by April 30 2.6%
$48,679 Vol.
$48,679 Vol.
On or prior to April 16
81%
April 17
12%
April 18
3%
April 19
3%
April 20
2%
April 21
2%
April 22
1%
April 23
1%
April 24
1%
April 25
<1%
April 26
1%
April 27
1%
April 28
<1%
April 29
<1%
April 30
<1%
Not released by April 30
3%
On or prior to April 16 81%
April 17 11.5%
April 18 3.3%
Not released by April 30 2.6%
$48,679 Vol.
$48,679 Vol.
On or prior to April 16
81%
April 17
12%
April 18
3%
April 19
3%
April 20
2%
April 21
2%
April 22
1%
April 23
1%
April 24
1%
April 25
<1%
April 26
1%
April 27
1%
April 28
<1%
April 29
<1%
April 30
<1%
Not released by April 30
3%
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Credible reporting from The Information yesterday revealed Anthropic is testing Claude Opus 4.7 and preparing an imminent launch—potentially bundled with a new AI-powered design tool—as soon as this week, propelling the market-implied probability of release on or before today, April 16, to 80.5% as trader consensus aggregates on this catalyst. Supporting leaks from Anthropic's Claude Code npm package earlier this month confirmed internal references to Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.8, underscoring accelerated development post-Opus 4.6's February rollout amid fierce competition with OpenAI's GPT iterations and Google's Gemini. While no official announcement has surfaced, historical patterns show Anthropic's rapid cadence, though product timelines can slip; watch for developer API updates or claude.ai deployment as key resolution triggers, with 11.6% odds spilling to April 17.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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