Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.3% implied probability to no Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled privatization momentum amid regulatory and market pushback. FHFA Director Bill Pulte signaled in February a potential retreat from initial Trump administration plans floated in January, with no firm recapitalization or public offering timeline emerging by mid-April despite Bill Ackman's bullish Q4 advocacy and recent 120% share surges on speculation. PIMCO's recent warnings highlight risks of agency MBS market disruption from ownership changes, while Treasury commentary requests underscore ongoing deliberations without commitment. Low odds across market cap bins (e.g., 3.6% at $150–200B) stem from persistent conservatorship, housing market sensitivity, and absent FHFA approval milestones, with focus shifting to 2027 prospects.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026 89.3%
150–200 miliardi 4.0%
<150 miliardi 2.6%
200–250 miliardi 2.1%
$193,334 Vol.
$193,334 Vol.
30 giu 2026
<150 miliardi
3%
150–200 miliardi
4%
200–250 miliardi
2%
250–300 miliardi
1%
300 miliardi+
2%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026
89%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026 89.3%
150–200 miliardi 4.0%
<150 miliardi 2.6%
200–250 miliardi 2.1%
$193,334 Vol.
$193,334 Vol.
30 giu 2026
<150 miliardi
$80,809 Vol.
3%
150–200 miliardi
$30,835 Vol.
4%
200–250 miliardi
$19,322 Vol.
2%
250–300 miliardi
$5,829 Vol.
1%
300 miliardi+
$10,816 Vol.
2%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026
$45,723 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.3% implied probability to no Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled privatization momentum amid regulatory and market pushback. FHFA Director Bill Pulte signaled in February a potential retreat from initial Trump administration plans floated in January, with no firm recapitalization or public offering timeline emerging by mid-April despite Bill Ackman's bullish Q4 advocacy and recent 120% share surges on speculation. PIMCO's recent warnings highlight risks of agency MBS market disruption from ownership changes, while Treasury commentary requests underscore ongoing deliberations without commitment. Low odds across market cap bins (e.g., 3.6% at $150–200B) stem from persistent conservatorship, housing market sensitivity, and absent FHFA approval milestones, with focus shifting to 2027 prospects.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volume
$193,334Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.3% implied probability to no Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled privatization momentum amid regulatory and market pushback. FHFA Director Bill Pulte signaled in February a potential retreat from initial Trump administration plans floated in January, with no firm recapitalization or public offering timeline emerging by mid-April despite Bill Ackman's bullish Q4 advocacy and recent 120% share surges on speculation. PIMCO's recent warnings highlight risks of agency MBS market disruption from ownership changes, while Treasury commentary requests underscore ongoing deliberations without commitment. Low odds across market cap bins (e.g., 3.6% at $150–200B) stem from persistent conservatorship, housing market sensitivity, and absent FHFA approval milestones, with focus shifting to 2027 prospects.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$193,334Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.3% implied probability to no Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled privatization momentum amid regulatory and market pushback. FHFA Director Bill Pulte signaled in February a potential retreat from initial Trump administration plans floated in January, with no firm recapitalization or public offering timeline emerging by mid-April despite Bill Ackman's bullish Q4 advocacy and recent 120% share surges on speculation. PIMCO's recent warnings highlight risks of agency MBS market disruption from ownership changes, while Treasury commentary requests underscore ongoing deliberations without commitment. Low odds across market cap bins (e.g., 3.6% at $150–200B) stem from persistent conservatorship, housing market sensitivity, and absent FHFA approval milestones, with focus shifting to 2027 prospects.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti