Consensus forecasts from models like those referenced by the National Meteorological Service position Ankara's August 22 high near 34–35°C, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong afternoon solar heating under a stable high-pressure system over the Anatolian plateau. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover support efficient surface warming, consistent with late-summer baselines of 30–33°C but elevated by current conditions. These factors explain why market-implied odds heavily favor 34°C (40%) and 35°C (57%), with only slim probability on outliers. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 22 agosto?
35°C 59%
34°C 40%
36°C 4%
33°C 2%
NUOVO
$10,671 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,671 Vol.
22 ago 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
40%
35°C
59%
36°C
4%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 59%
34°C 40%
36°C 4%
33°C 2%
NUOVO
$10,671 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,671 Vol.
22 ago 2026
30°C or below
$222 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$685 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,396 Vol.
2%
34°C
$1,722 Vol.
40%
35°C
$2,273 Vol.
59%
36°C
$1,196 Vol.
4%
37°C
$345 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$526 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$1,396 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$614 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from models like those referenced by the National Meteorological Service position Ankara's August 22 high near 34–35°C, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong afternoon solar heating under a stable high-pressure system over the Anatolian plateau. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover support efficient surface warming, consistent with late-summer baselines of 30–33°C but elevated by current conditions. These factors explain why market-implied odds heavily favor 34°C (40%) and 35°C (57%), with only slim probability on outliers. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,671Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from models like those referenced by the National Meteorological Service position Ankara's August 22 high near 34–35°C, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong afternoon solar heating under a stable high-pressure system over the Anatolian plateau. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover support efficient surface warming, consistent with late-summer baselines of 30–33°C but elevated by current conditions. These factors explain why market-implied odds heavily favor 34°C (40%) and 35°C (57%), with only slim probability on outliers. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,671Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Consensus forecasts from models like those referenced by the National Meteorological Service position Ankara's August 22 high near 34–35°C, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong afternoon solar heating under a stable high-pressure system over the Anatolian plateau. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover support efficient surface warming, consistent with late-summer baselines of 30–33°C but elevated by current conditions. These factors explain why market-implied odds heavily favor 34°C (40%) and 35°C (57%), with only slim probability on outliers. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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