Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a peak temperature near 30°C on September 1 under mostly sunny skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity around 25-35%, consistent with early autumn high-pressure conditions that favor strong daytime solar heating at the city's roughly 900 m elevation. Ensemble model consensus and official outlooks from agencies align closely with this range, showing minimal deviation from seasonal norms of 27-30°C for the period, with little evidence of an intensifying heat plume or incoming frontal system to push readings substantially higher. Trader positioning, reflected in the 64% implied probability for exactly 30°C and 27% for 31°C, captures this narrow uncertainty band around the expected maximum, as afternoon observations from standard surface stations determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 1° settembre?
30°C 64%
31°C 28%
29°C 10%
28°C 3%
NUOVO
$14,731 Vol.
NUOVO
$14,731 Vol.
1 set 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
64%
31°C
28%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 64%
31°C 28%
29°C 10%
28°C 3%
NUOVO
$14,731 Vol.
NUOVO
$14,731 Vol.
1 set 2026
25°C or below
$213 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,133 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$495 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,242 Vol.
3%
29°C
$2,473 Vol.
10%
30°C
$3,115 Vol.
64%
31°C
$3,239 Vol.
28%
32°C
$1,539 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$809 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a peak temperature near 30°C on September 1 under mostly sunny skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity around 25-35%, consistent with early autumn high-pressure conditions that favor strong daytime solar heating at the city's roughly 900 m elevation. Ensemble model consensus and official outlooks from agencies align closely with this range, showing minimal deviation from seasonal norms of 27-30°C for the period, with little evidence of an intensifying heat plume or incoming frontal system to push readings substantially higher. Trader positioning, reflected in the 64% implied probability for exactly 30°C and 27% for 31°C, captures this narrow uncertainty band around the expected maximum, as afternoon observations from standard surface stations determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,731Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a peak temperature near 30°C on September 1 under mostly sunny skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity around 25-35%, consistent with early autumn high-pressure conditions that favor strong daytime solar heating at the city's roughly 900 m elevation. Ensemble model consensus and official outlooks from agencies align closely with this range, showing minimal deviation from seasonal norms of 27-30°C for the period, with little evidence of an intensifying heat plume or incoming frontal system to push readings substantially higher. Trader positioning, reflected in the 64% implied probability for exactly 30°C and 27% for 31°C, captures this narrow uncertainty band around the expected maximum, as afternoon observations from standard surface stations determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,731Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a peak temperature near 30°C on September 1 under mostly sunny skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity around 25-35%, consistent with early autumn high-pressure conditions that favor strong daytime solar heating at the city's roughly 900 m elevation. Ensemble model consensus and official outlooks from agencies align closely with this range, showing minimal deviation from seasonal norms of 27-30°C for the period, with little evidence of an intensifying heat plume or incoming frontal system to push readings substantially higher. Trader positioning, reflected in the 64% implied probability for exactly 30°C and 27% for 31°C, captures this narrow uncertainty band around the expected maximum, as afternoon observations from standard surface stations determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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