Clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Ankara promote strong nocturnal radiative cooling, with surface temperatures expected to bottom out near 16°C under dry continental air masses typical for early September. Dew points around 10–11°C and minimal cloud cover allow efficient longwave heat loss after sunset, while the city’s ~900 m elevation and basin topography enhance drainage of cooler air. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 10–14°C because small variations in wind mixing, exact timing of the minimum, or differences between the official meteorological station and surrounding urban sites can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Official forecasts from Turkish Met and international models converge on this range, leaving resolution dependent on the final overnight observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa ad Ankara il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più bassa ad Ankara il 1° settembre?
12°C 100%
14°C 100%
11°C 90%
13°C 90%
$743 Vol.
$743 Vol.
1 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
-
11°C
90%
12°C
100%
13°C
90%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
12°C 100%
14°C 100%
11°C 90%
13°C 90%
$743 Vol.
$743 Vol.
1 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
$25 Vol.
-
11°C
$8 Vol.
90%
12°C
$0 Vol.
100%
13°C
$0 Vol.
90%
14°C
$0 Vol.
100%
15°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$280 Vol.
<1%
20°C o superiore
$290 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Ankara promote strong nocturnal radiative cooling, with surface temperatures expected to bottom out near 16°C under dry continental air masses typical for early September. Dew points around 10–11°C and minimal cloud cover allow efficient longwave heat loss after sunset, while the city’s ~900 m elevation and basin topography enhance drainage of cooler air. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 10–14°C because small variations in wind mixing, exact timing of the minimum, or differences between the official meteorological station and surrounding urban sites can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Official forecasts from Turkish Met and international models converge on this range, leaving resolution dependent on the final overnight observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$743Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Ankara promote strong nocturnal radiative cooling, with surface temperatures expected to bottom out near 16°C under dry continental air masses typical for early September. Dew points around 10–11°C and minimal cloud cover allow efficient longwave heat loss after sunset, while the city’s ~900 m elevation and basin topography enhance drainage of cooler air. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 10–14°C because small variations in wind mixing, exact timing of the minimum, or differences between the official meteorological station and surrounding urban sites can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Official forecasts from Turkish Met and international models converge on this range, leaving resolution dependent on the final overnight observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$743Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Ankara promote strong nocturnal radiative cooling, with surface temperatures expected to bottom out near 16°C under dry continental air masses typical for early September. Dew points around 10–11°C and minimal cloud cover allow efficient longwave heat loss after sunset, while the city’s ~900 m elevation and basin topography enhance drainage of cooler air. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 10–14°C because small variations in wind mixing, exact timing of the minimum, or differences between the official meteorological station and surrounding urban sites can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Official forecasts from Turkish Met and international models converge on this range, leaving resolution dependent on the final overnight observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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