Divergent numerical weather prediction outputs for maximum temperature in Ankara on September 16 create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Ensemble guidance and operational models show a high near the September climatological average of roughly 24°C, with afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers or thunderstorms expected to limit surface heating. Regional moisture advection and weak instability favor convective development after midday, potentially capping readings below clearer-sky scenarios that reach 26–27°C. Official monitoring from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the outcome based on the daily maximum at the primary Ankara station, where small differences in timing of precipitation or insolation can shift the peak by 1–2°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 16 settembre?
24°C 33%
25°C 26%
23°C 18%
22°C 8%
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
18%
24°C
33%
25°C
26%
26°C
6%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
24°C 33%
25°C 26%
23°C 18%
22°C 8%
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
18%
24°C
33%
25°C
26%
26°C
6%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Divergent numerical weather prediction outputs for maximum temperature in Ankara on September 16 create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Ensemble guidance and operational models show a high near the September climatological average of roughly 24°C, with afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers or thunderstorms expected to limit surface heating. Regional moisture advection and weak instability favor convective development after midday, potentially capping readings below clearer-sky scenarios that reach 26–27°C. Official monitoring from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the outcome based on the daily maximum at the primary Ankara station, where small differences in timing of precipitation or insolation can shift the peak by 1–2°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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