Forecast models including GFS and ECMWF consensus project overnight lows of 12–15°C in Ankara on September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure. This range aligns with the market’s near-even split between 11°C-or-below and warmer outcomes, reflecting ensemble spread from variable cloud cover and minor precipitation chances noted in some runs. Historical September minima average near 14°C, providing context for the current setup. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa ad Ankara il 16 settembre?
11°C o inferiore 98%
21°C o superiore 97%
14°C 39%
15°C 39%
11°C o inferiore
98%
12°C
26%
13°C
22%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C o superiore
97%
11°C o inferiore 98%
21°C o superiore 97%
14°C 39%
15°C 39%
11°C o inferiore
98%
12°C
26%
13°C
22%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C o superiore
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models including GFS and ECMWF consensus project overnight lows of 12–15°C in Ankara on September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure. This range aligns with the market’s near-even split between 11°C-or-below and warmer outcomes, reflecting ensemble spread from variable cloud cover and minor precipitation chances noted in some runs. Historical September minima average near 14°C, providing context for the current setup. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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