Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a cooler air mass and scattered showers or thunderstorms arriving over Ankara on September 23, 2026, with daytime maxima most likely between 19–21°C. This represents a notable drop from mid-September climatological averages near 24–26°C and follows warmer readings earlier in the week. The precipitation and associated cloud cover are expected to limit surface heating and suppress any stronger afternoon warming. Market-implied probabilities reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty around exact peak values, with the highest volume on outcomes near or slightly above the model consensus. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ensemble runs will refine the precise maximum ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 23 settembre?
17°C 38%
16°C 32%
23°C o superiore 31%
19°C 28%
13°C o inferiore
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
32%
17°C
38%
18°C
21%
19°C
28%
20°C
27%
21°C
16%
22°C
21%
23°C o superiore
31%
17°C 38%
16°C 32%
23°C o superiore 31%
19°C 28%
13°C o inferiore
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
32%
17°C
38%
18°C
21%
19°C
28%
20°C
27%
21°C
16%
22°C
21%
23°C o superiore
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a cooler air mass and scattered showers or thunderstorms arriving over Ankara on September 23, 2026, with daytime maxima most likely between 19–21°C. This represents a notable drop from mid-September climatological averages near 24–26°C and follows warmer readings earlier in the week. The precipitation and associated cloud cover are expected to limit surface heating and suppress any stronger afternoon warming. Market-implied probabilities reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty around exact peak values, with the highest volume on outcomes near or slightly above the model consensus. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ensemble runs will refine the precise maximum ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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