Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a likely peak of 36–37°C in Beijing on August 6 under southerly flow and partial cloud cover, driving the tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiators include boundary-layer humidity and urban heat island amplification, which can add 1–2°C to official readings, alongside any late-day convective cooling or wind shifts that might cap the maximum. With August climatology showing typical highs near 32–34°C, current guidance reflects a modest heat anomaly, but model spread on cloud timing and low-level moisture keeps 36°C and 38°C probabilities closely matched ahead of the next forecast update.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Pechino il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Pechino il 6 agosto?
37°C 36%
38°C 28%
36°C 16%
39°C 8%
NUOVO
$20,076 Vol.
NUOVO
$20,076 Vol.
6 ago 2026
30°C o inferiore
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
5%
36°C
16%
37°C
36%
38°C
28%
39°C
8%
40°C o superiore
1%
37°C 36%
38°C 28%
36°C 16%
39°C 8%
NUOVO
$20,076 Vol.
NUOVO
$20,076 Vol.
6 ago 2026
30°C o inferiore
$343 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$643 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,908 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,586 Vol.
1%
35°C
$933 Vol.
5%
36°C
$6,396 Vol.
16%
37°C
$4,058 Vol.
36%
38°C
$1,472 Vol.
28%
39°C
$1,271 Vol.
8%
40°C o superiore
$1,142 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a likely peak of 36–37°C in Beijing on August 6 under southerly flow and partial cloud cover, driving the tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiators include boundary-layer humidity and urban heat island amplification, which can add 1–2°C to official readings, alongside any late-day convective cooling or wind shifts that might cap the maximum. With August climatology showing typical highs near 32–34°C, current guidance reflects a modest heat anomaly, but model spread on cloud timing and low-level moisture keeps 36°C and 38°C probabilities closely matched ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$20,076Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a likely peak of 36–37°C in Beijing on August 6 under southerly flow and partial cloud cover, driving the tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiators include boundary-layer humidity and urban heat island amplification, which can add 1–2°C to official readings, alongside any late-day convective cooling or wind shifts that might cap the maximum. With August climatology showing typical highs near 32–34°C, current guidance reflects a modest heat anomaly, but model spread on cloud timing and low-level moisture keeps 36°C and 38°C probabilities closely matched ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,076Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a likely peak of 36–37°C in Beijing on August 6 under southerly flow and partial cloud cover, driving the tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiators include boundary-layer humidity and urban heat island amplification, which can add 1–2°C to official readings, alongside any late-day convective cooling or wind shifts that might cap the maximum. With August climatology showing typical highs near 32–34°C, current guidance reflects a modest heat anomaly, but model spread on cloud timing and low-level moisture keeps 36°C and 38°C probabilities closely matched ahead of the next forecast update.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti