Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 13°C or higher at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, driven by official Finnish Meteorological Institute observations already confirming midday peaks above this threshold amid a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flows. Hourly data from FMI stations, including Kumpula's early 14°C reading, align with ECMWF and GFS model consensus forecasting daytime highs of 14–16°C under sunny skies, well above early May climatological averages of 12–13°C. This positioning leaves minimal room for downside, though an unexpected cool frontal passage or station-specific measurement revision could theoretically challenge it before daily close; final resolution awaits end-of-day FMI/Wunderground archives.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 4?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 4?
13°C or higher 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$45,773 Vol.
$45,773 Vol.
4 mag 2026
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
Yes
13°C or higher 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$45,773 Vol.
$45,773 Vol.
4 mag 2026
3°C or below
$600 Vol.
No
4°C
$451 Vol.
No
5°C
$1,551 Vol.
No
6°C
$918 Vol.
No
7°C
$2,844 Vol.
No
8°C
$2,873 Vol.
No
9°C
$3,073 Vol.
No
10°C
$3,528 Vol.
No
11°C
$4,029 Vol.
No
12°C
$3,388 Vol.
No
13°C or higher
$22,520 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 13°C or higher at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, driven by official Finnish Meteorological Institute observations already confirming midday peaks above this threshold amid a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flows. Hourly data from FMI stations, including Kumpula's early 14°C reading, align with ECMWF and GFS model consensus forecasting daytime highs of 14–16°C under sunny skies, well above early May climatological averages of 12–13°C. This positioning leaves minimal room for downside, though an unexpected cool frontal passage or station-specific measurement revision could theoretically challenge it before daily close; final resolution awaits end-of-day FMI/Wunderground archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$45,773Data di fine
4 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 13°C or higher at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, driven by official Finnish Meteorological Institute observations already confirming midday peaks above this threshold amid a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flows. Hourly data from FMI stations, including Kumpula's early 14°C reading, align with ECMWF and GFS model consensus forecasting daytime highs of 14–16°C under sunny skies, well above early May climatological averages of 12–13°C. This positioning leaves minimal room for downside, though an unexpected cool frontal passage or station-specific measurement revision could theoretically challenge it before daily close; final resolution awaits end-of-day FMI/Wunderground archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$45,773Data di fine
4 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 13°C or higher at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, driven by official Finnish Meteorological Institute observations already confirming midday peaks above this threshold amid a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flows. Hourly data from FMI stations, including Kumpula's early 14°C reading, align with ECMWF and GFS model consensus forecasting daytime highs of 14–16°C under sunny skies, well above early May climatological averages of 12–13°C. This positioning leaves minimal room for downside, though an unexpected cool frontal passage or station-specific measurement revision could theoretically challenge it before daily close; final resolution awaits end-of-day FMI/Wunderground archives.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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