**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 12°C (100%) as Istanbul's highest temperature on April 15, backed by verified observational data from Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations and Istanbul Airport, which recorded a peak of exactly 12°C amid sub-normal spring conditions.** A persistent cold air mass from northerly flows, as forecasted by MGM for April 9–15, suppressed daytime highs well below the climatological April average of 15–16°C, with partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting solar heating. Historical April variability in the region supports such cool outliers, influenced by Black Sea moderation and synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges to this positioning would involve rare official data revisions from measurement anomalies or discrepancies between urban and airport stations, though MGM's rigorous quality controls make this improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 15 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 15 aprile?
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$120,717 Vol.
$120,717 Vol.
15 apr 2026
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$120,717 Vol.
$120,717 Vol.
15 apr 2026
12°C
$12,575 Vol.
100%
13°C
$4,752 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,924 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$10,982 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$26,373 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$12,605 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$905 Vol.
<1%
20°C o superiore
$2,941 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 12°C (100%) as Istanbul's highest temperature on April 15, backed by verified observational data from Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations and Istanbul Airport, which recorded a peak of exactly 12°C amid sub-normal spring conditions.** A persistent cold air mass from northerly flows, as forecasted by MGM for April 9–15, suppressed daytime highs well below the climatological April average of 15–16°C, with partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting solar heating. Historical April variability in the region supports such cool outliers, influenced by Black Sea moderation and synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges to this positioning would involve rare official data revisions from measurement anomalies or discrepancies between urban and airport stations, though MGM's rigorous quality controls make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volume
$120,717Data di fine
15 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 12°C (100%) as Istanbul's highest temperature on April 15, backed by verified observational data from Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations and Istanbul Airport, which recorded a peak of exactly 12°C amid sub-normal spring conditions.** A persistent cold air mass from northerly flows, as forecasted by MGM for April 9–15, suppressed daytime highs well below the climatological April average of 15–16°C, with partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting solar heating. Historical April variability in the region supports such cool outliers, influenced by Black Sea moderation and synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges to this positioning would involve rare official data revisions from measurement anomalies or discrepancies between urban and airport stations, though MGM's rigorous quality controls make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$120,717Data di fine
15 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 12°C (100%) as Istanbul's highest temperature on April 15, backed by verified observational data from Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations and Istanbul Airport, which recorded a peak of exactly 12°C amid sub-normal spring conditions.** A persistent cold air mass from northerly flows, as forecasted by MGM for April 9–15, suppressed daytime highs well below the climatological April average of 15–16°C, with partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting solar heating. Historical April variability in the region supports such cool outliers, influenced by Black Sea moderation and synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges to this positioning would involve rare official data revisions from measurement anomalies or discrepancies between urban and airport stations, though MGM's rigorous quality controls make this improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti