National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reached 81°F around 1-2 PM EDT, as captured in hourly METAR reports amid partly cloudy conditions, southerly winds, and sea breeze influence that capped daytime heating. This outcome, well below the climatological May average of 86°F and initial forecasts near 88°F under a high-pressure ridge, drove trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 80-81°F, reflecting real-time data aggregation with real capital at stake. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality-controlled summaries, though current records show no higher peaks; final NWS daily climatological report will solidify resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Miami on May 3?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 3?
80-81°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$144,947 Vol.
$144,947 Vol.
3 mag 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$144,947 Vol.
$144,947 Vol.
3 mag 2026
73°F or below
$928 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,078 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$8,606 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$7,661 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$26,646 Vol.
Yes
82-83°F
$24,784 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$18,549 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$19,709 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$21,257 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$8,274 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$6,455 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reached 81°F around 1-2 PM EDT, as captured in hourly METAR reports amid partly cloudy conditions, southerly winds, and sea breeze influence that capped daytime heating. This outcome, well below the climatological May average of 86°F and initial forecasts near 88°F under a high-pressure ridge, drove trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 80-81°F, reflecting real-time data aggregation with real capital at stake. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality-controlled summaries, though current records show no higher peaks; final NWS daily climatological report will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$144,947Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reached 81°F around 1-2 PM EDT, as captured in hourly METAR reports amid partly cloudy conditions, southerly winds, and sea breeze influence that capped daytime heating. This outcome, well below the climatological May average of 86°F and initial forecasts near 88°F under a high-pressure ridge, drove trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 80-81°F, reflecting real-time data aggregation with real capital at stake. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality-controlled summaries, though current records show no higher peaks; final NWS daily climatological report will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$144,947Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reached 81°F around 1-2 PM EDT, as captured in hourly METAR reports amid partly cloudy conditions, southerly winds, and sea breeze influence that capped daytime heating. This outcome, well below the climatological May average of 86°F and initial forecasts near 88°F under a high-pressure ridge, drove trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 80-81°F, reflecting real-time data aggregation with real capital at stake. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality-controlled summaries, though current records show no higher peaks; final NWS daily climatological report will solidify resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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