Trader sentiment centers on the narrow 31–32°C band because official guidance and ensemble models from regional meteorological services point to a typical wet-season maximum in Panama City driven by high humidity, strong solar heating, and afternoon convection along the ITCZ. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms—forecast to develop after peak heating—limit further warming while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C sustain moisture and instability. With 31°C and 32°C nearly tied in market-implied odds, the decisive variables are the precise timing and coverage of convective clouds on August 28, which can reduce surface insolation by several degrees Celsius; lighter winds and slightly delayed storm onset favor the higher end of the range. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context but underscore that day-to-day variability remains high this close to resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Panama City il 28 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Panama City il 28 agosto?
31°C 39%
32°C 38%
33°C 15%
30°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
39%
32°C
38%
33°C
15%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 38%
33°C 15%
30°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
26°C o inferiore
$195 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$98 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$262 Vol.
10%
31°C
$619 Vol.
39%
32°C
$308 Vol.
38%
33°C
$231 Vol.
15%
34°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$148 Vol.
<1%
36°C o superiore
$197 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on the narrow 31–32°C band because official guidance and ensemble models from regional meteorological services point to a typical wet-season maximum in Panama City driven by high humidity, strong solar heating, and afternoon convection along the ITCZ. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms—forecast to develop after peak heating—limit further warming while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C sustain moisture and instability. With 31°C and 32°C nearly tied in market-implied odds, the decisive variables are the precise timing and coverage of convective clouds on August 28, which can reduce surface insolation by several degrees Celsius; lighter winds and slightly delayed storm onset favor the higher end of the range. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context but underscore that day-to-day variability remains high this close to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$2,253Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on the narrow 31–32°C band because official guidance and ensemble models from regional meteorological services point to a typical wet-season maximum in Panama City driven by high humidity, strong solar heating, and afternoon convection along the ITCZ. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms—forecast to develop after peak heating—limit further warming while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C sustain moisture and instability. With 31°C and 32°C nearly tied in market-implied odds, the decisive variables are the precise timing and coverage of convective clouds on August 28, which can reduce surface insolation by several degrees Celsius; lighter winds and slightly delayed storm onset favor the higher end of the range. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context but underscore that day-to-day variability remains high this close to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,253Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on the narrow 31–32°C band because official guidance and ensemble models from regional meteorological services point to a typical wet-season maximum in Panama City driven by high humidity, strong solar heating, and afternoon convection along the ITCZ. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms—forecast to develop after peak heating—limit further warming while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C sustain moisture and instability. With 31°C and 32°C nearly tied in market-implied odds, the decisive variables are the precise timing and coverage of convective clouds on August 28, which can reduce surface insolation by several degrees Celsius; lighter winds and slightly delayed storm onset favor the higher end of the range. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context but underscore that day-to-day variability remains high this close to resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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