The China Meteorological Administration’s latest forecast models and ensemble runs have converged on a 28°C maximum for Qingdao on June 10, producing the near-certain market-implied outcome. This positioning reflects consistent southerly warm-air advection across the Shandong Peninsula combined with limited cloud cover and light winds that allow daytime heating to reach the upper end of the seasonal range, which typically averages 23–26°C in early June. Official surface observations from coastal stations and updated numerical weather prediction output show minimal spread around this value, with only small timing or microscale variations possible before the daily peak is recorded. A significant shift in steering flow or unexpected marine-layer intrusion could still alter the final measured high, though current guidance places such changes well outside the most probable scenarios.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 10?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$32,220 Vol.
$32,220 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$32,220 Vol.
$32,220 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The China Meteorological Administration’s latest forecast models and ensemble runs have converged on a 28°C maximum for Qingdao on June 10, producing the near-certain market-implied outcome. This positioning reflects consistent southerly warm-air advection across the Shandong Peninsula combined with limited cloud cover and light winds that allow daytime heating to reach the upper end of the seasonal range, which typically averages 23–26°C in early June. Official surface observations from coastal stations and updated numerical weather prediction output show minimal spread around this value, with only small timing or microscale variations possible before the daily peak is recorded. A significant shift in steering flow or unexpected marine-layer intrusion could still alter the final measured high, though current guidance places such changes well outside the most probable scenarios.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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