Official NOAA observations from San Francisco International Airport (SFO), the market's resolution station, recorded a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 29, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin as preliminary data finalized overnight. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating, aligning with spring climatology where average April highs hover around 64°F amid La Niña-influenced patterns. Model forecasts from prior days had correctly anticipated this mild outcome, with no diurnal peaks exceeding the bin. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as instrument calibration errors—but historical audit rates for such adjustments remain below 1%, rendering shifts improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 29?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 29?
66-67°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$72,421 Vol.
$72,421 Vol.
29 apr 2026
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$72,421 Vol.
$72,421 Vol.
29 apr 2026
49°F or below
$1,315 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$2,399 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$1,971 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$3,884 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$4,188 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$4,873 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$7,384 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$12,380 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$12,106 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$8,019 Vol.
Yes
68°F or higher
$13,902 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations from San Francisco International Airport (SFO), the market's resolution station, recorded a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 29, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin as preliminary data finalized overnight. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating, aligning with spring climatology where average April highs hover around 64°F amid La Niña-influenced patterns. Model forecasts from prior days had correctly anticipated this mild outcome, with no diurnal peaks exceeding the bin. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as instrument calibration errors—but historical audit rates for such adjustments remain below 1%, rendering shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$72,421Data di fine
29 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations from San Francisco International Airport (SFO), the market's resolution station, recorded a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 29, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin as preliminary data finalized overnight. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating, aligning with spring climatology where average April highs hover around 64°F amid La Niña-influenced patterns. Model forecasts from prior days had correctly anticipated this mild outcome, with no diurnal peaks exceeding the bin. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as instrument calibration errors—but historical audit rates for such adjustments remain below 1%, rendering shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$72,421Data di fine
29 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official NOAA observations from San Francisco International Airport (SFO), the market's resolution station, recorded a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 29, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin as preliminary data finalized overnight. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating, aligning with spring climatology where average April highs hover around 64°F amid La Niña-influenced patterns. Model forecasts from prior days had correctly anticipated this mild outcome, with no diurnal peaks exceeding the bin. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as instrument calibration errors—but historical audit rates for such adjustments remain below 1%, rendering shifts improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti