Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore westerly flow over the San Francisco Bay Area, holding daytime highs near or slightly below the early-September climatological average of 70°F. This pattern, driven by an upper-level trough, favors afternoon maxima in the upper 60s to low 70s, with stratus burn-off timing and local wind strength creating the narrow spread between the closely matched 68–69°F and 70–71°F market bins. Historical analogs from similar late-summer trough setups show that modest shifts in marine-layer depth or afternoon sea-breeze strength can swing the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Updated NWS short-range forecasts and high-resolution model runs through Sunday morning will provide the key data releases likely to refine trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 6 settembre?
70-71°F 42%
68-69°F 39%
66-67°F 7%
72-73°F 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
59°F o inferiore
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
42%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78°F o superiore
1%
70-71°F 42%
68-69°F 39%
66-67°F 7%
72-73°F 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
59°F o inferiore
$453 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$8 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$43 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$124 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$355 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$173 Vol.
39%
70-71°F
$487 Vol.
42%
72-73°F
$37 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$151 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
3%
78°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore westerly flow over the San Francisco Bay Area, holding daytime highs near or slightly below the early-September climatological average of 70°F. This pattern, driven by an upper-level trough, favors afternoon maxima in the upper 60s to low 70s, with stratus burn-off timing and local wind strength creating the narrow spread between the closely matched 68–69°F and 70–71°F market bins. Historical analogs from similar late-summer trough setups show that modest shifts in marine-layer depth or afternoon sea-breeze strength can swing the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Updated NWS short-range forecasts and high-resolution model runs through Sunday morning will provide the key data releases likely to refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,831Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore westerly flow over the San Francisco Bay Area, holding daytime highs near or slightly below the early-September climatological average of 70°F. This pattern, driven by an upper-level trough, favors afternoon maxima in the upper 60s to low 70s, with stratus burn-off timing and local wind strength creating the narrow spread between the closely matched 68–69°F and 70–71°F market bins. Historical analogs from similar late-summer trough setups show that modest shifts in marine-layer depth or afternoon sea-breeze strength can swing the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Updated NWS short-range forecasts and high-resolution model runs through Sunday morning will provide the key data releases likely to refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,831Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore westerly flow over the San Francisco Bay Area, holding daytime highs near or slightly below the early-September climatological average of 70°F. This pattern, driven by an upper-level trough, favors afternoon maxima in the upper 60s to low 70s, with stratus burn-off timing and local wind strength creating the narrow spread between the closely matched 68–69°F and 70–71°F market bins. Historical analogs from similar late-summer trough setups show that modest shifts in marine-layer depth or afternoon sea-breeze strength can swing the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Updated NWS short-range forecasts and high-resolution model runs through Sunday morning will provide the key data releases likely to refine trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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