Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies consistently indicated a daily maximum temperature near 19°C for São Paulo on June 16, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions influenced by cooler air masses over southeastern Brazil and the city’s elevation around 760 meters. This aligns with climatological baselines showing June highs averaging 18–21°C, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and no significant heat advection. Official observations have now confirmed this outcome, driving the market’s near-certain implied probability for 19°C. Only minor variations in station-specific recordings or microclimate effects could realistically alter resolution, though such deviations remain unlikely given the consensus data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 16 giugno?
19°C 100.0%
14°C o inferiore <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$34,435 Vol.
$34,435 Vol.
14°C o inferiore
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Sì
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C o superiore
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C o inferiore <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$34,435 Vol.
$34,435 Vol.
14°C o inferiore
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Sì
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies consistently indicated a daily maximum temperature near 19°C for São Paulo on June 16, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions influenced by cooler air masses over southeastern Brazil and the city’s elevation around 760 meters. This aligns with climatological baselines showing June highs averaging 18–21°C, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and no significant heat advection. Official observations have now confirmed this outcome, driving the market’s near-certain implied probability for 19°C. Only minor variations in station-specific recordings or microclimate effects could realistically alter resolution, though such deviations remain unlikely given the consensus data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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