National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 70-71°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on April 30 under mostly sunny conditions with light north-northwest winds, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 64°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This setup features a stable upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest suppressing cloud cover and supporting above-normal warmth, following recent days of similar highs amid a spring warming trend—April climatological normals hover around 60°F. Current observations show morning temperatures rebounding from overnight lows near 55°F into the 60s midday. Realistic challenges include unforeseen marine layer development or abrupt wind shift bringing cooler air, though high forecast confidence and lack of such indicators make this unlikely ahead of evening resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Seattle on April 30?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 30?
64°F or higher 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$33,331 Vol.
$33,331 Vol.
30 apr 2026
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
Yes
64°F or higher 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$33,331 Vol.
$33,331 Vol.
30 apr 2026
45°F or below
$2,627 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$1,245 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$2,224 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$3,049 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$2,083 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$3,060 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$2,118 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$869 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$1,551 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$2,833 Vol.
No
64°F or higher
$11,672 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 70-71°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on April 30 under mostly sunny conditions with light north-northwest winds, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 64°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This setup features a stable upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest suppressing cloud cover and supporting above-normal warmth, following recent days of similar highs amid a spring warming trend—April climatological normals hover around 60°F. Current observations show morning temperatures rebounding from overnight lows near 55°F into the 60s midday. Realistic challenges include unforeseen marine layer development or abrupt wind shift bringing cooler air, though high forecast confidence and lack of such indicators make this unlikely ahead of evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 28, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Volume
$33,331Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:37 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 70-71°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on April 30 under mostly sunny conditions with light north-northwest winds, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 64°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This setup features a stable upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest suppressing cloud cover and supporting above-normal warmth, following recent days of similar highs amid a spring warming trend—April climatological normals hover around 60°F. Current observations show morning temperatures rebounding from overnight lows near 55°F into the 60s midday. Realistic challenges include unforeseen marine layer development or abrupt wind shift bringing cooler air, though high forecast confidence and lack of such indicators make this unlikely ahead of evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$33,331Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:37 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 70-71°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on April 30 under mostly sunny conditions with light north-northwest winds, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 64°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This setup features a stable upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest suppressing cloud cover and supporting above-normal warmth, following recent days of similar highs amid a spring warming trend—April climatological normals hover around 60°F. Current observations show morning temperatures rebounding from overnight lows near 55°F into the 60s midday. Realistic challenges include unforeseen marine layer development or abrupt wind shift bringing cooler air, though high forecast confidence and lack of such indicators make this unlikely ahead of evening resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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