Numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently converge on a daytime maximum of 24°C for Seoul on June 8, supported by light westerly flow, limited atmospheric moisture, and minimal cloud cover that together cap further warming. This strong model agreement and low ensemble spread underpin the market’s near-certain implied probability for the 24°C outcome. Realistic scenarios that could shift the final recorded high include unexpected increases in afternoon cloudiness, a shift in steering winds, or localized convective development, though current guidance shows limited potential for such changes before sunset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul l'8 giugno?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$236,535 Vol.
$236,535 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C o superiore
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$236,535 Vol.
$236,535 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 6, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently converge on a daytime maximum of 24°C for Seoul on June 8, supported by light westerly flow, limited atmospheric moisture, and minimal cloud cover that together cap further warming. This strong model agreement and low ensemble spread underpin the market’s near-certain implied probability for the 24°C outcome. Realistic scenarios that could shift the final recorded high include unexpected increases in afternoon cloudiness, a shift in steering winds, or localized convective development, though current guidance shows limited potential for such changes before sunset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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