Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.5% on Iranian Kurds declaring independence, reflecting the absence of any formal declaration by Kurdish groups amid the ongoing 2026 Kurdish-Iranian crisis of protests and unrest that began in late 2025. Recent developments, including collapsed US-Israeli plans for a Kurdish militia invasion reported in late March and a February coalition of anti-regime Kurdish parties emphasizing opposition unity over separatism, have failed to escalate toward secession. Iranian Kurds have joined nationwide demonstrations chanting "Javid Shah" for Reza Pahlavi in early April, signaling preference for regime change within a unified Iran amid nationalist backlash against separatist rhetoric. Tehran’s military crackdowns and lack of international backing for independence pose major barriers, though a sudden regime collapse could shift dynamics.