Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate the overnight minimum temperature in Ankara will reach 16°C under clear skies and light winds, supporting the market's strong 98% implied probability for that outcome. High pressure and dry air promote efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32–34°C, consistent with historical August patterns where lows typically settle around 16–18°C. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time model guidance and station data, with low uncertainty given stable atmospheric conditions. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized wind shifts could raise the minimum by limiting heat loss, while any revision in official measurement protocols or station-specific readings might alter resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa ad Ankara il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa ad Ankara il 21 agosto?
16°C 98%
14°C 10%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$3,678 Vol.
$3,678 Vol.
21 ago 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
10%
15°C
-
16°C
98%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 98%
14°C 10%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$3,678 Vol.
$3,678 Vol.
21 ago 2026
11°C or below
$340 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$211 Vol.
1%
13°C
$246 Vol.
1%
14°C
$144 Vol.
10%
15°C
$105 Vol.
-
16°C
$339 Vol.
98%
17°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$357 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$1,117 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate the overnight minimum temperature in Ankara will reach 16°C under clear skies and light winds, supporting the market's strong 98% implied probability for that outcome. High pressure and dry air promote efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32–34°C, consistent with historical August patterns where lows typically settle around 16–18°C. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time model guidance and station data, with low uncertainty given stable atmospheric conditions. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized wind shifts could raise the minimum by limiting heat loss, while any revision in official measurement protocols or station-specific readings might alter resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$3,678Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate the overnight minimum temperature in Ankara will reach 16°C under clear skies and light winds, supporting the market's strong 98% implied probability for that outcome. High pressure and dry air promote efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32–34°C, consistent with historical August patterns where lows typically settle around 16–18°C. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time model guidance and station data, with low uncertainty given stable atmospheric conditions. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized wind shifts could raise the minimum by limiting heat loss, while any revision in official measurement protocols or station-specific readings might alter resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,678Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate the overnight minimum temperature in Ankara will reach 16°C under clear skies and light winds, supporting the market's strong 98% implied probability for that outcome. High pressure and dry air promote efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32–34°C, consistent with historical August patterns where lows typically settle around 16–18°C. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time model guidance and station data, with low uncertainty given stable atmospheric conditions. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized wind shifts could raise the minimum by limiting heat loss, while any revision in official measurement protocols or station-specific readings might alter resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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