Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C in Guangzhou on September 23, driven by persistent warm, moist southerly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with the historical late-September climatology but sits above the long-term average low of 23.5°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly balanced between the sub-22°C and 31°C+ outcomes because small shifts in overnight cloud thickness, wind speed, or timing of rain bands could push the minimum a few degrees either way, while the 22–30°C range captures the central model consensus. Updated NHC and regional guidance through the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and moisture profiles ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 23 settembre?
21°C o inferiore 99%
31°C o superiore 98%
25°C 40%
27°C 40%
21°C o inferiore
99%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
21%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C o superiore
98%
21°C o inferiore 99%
31°C o superiore 98%
25°C 40%
27°C 40%
21°C o inferiore
99%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
21%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C o superiore
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C in Guangzhou on September 23, driven by persistent warm, moist southerly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with the historical late-September climatology but sits above the long-term average low of 23.5°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly balanced between the sub-22°C and 31°C+ outcomes because small shifts in overnight cloud thickness, wind speed, or timing of rain bands could push the minimum a few degrees either way, while the 22–30°C range captures the central model consensus. Updated NHC and regional guidance through the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and moisture profiles ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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