Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements at King's Park—the authoritative reference station for daily minimum air temperatures—recorded 22°C as the lowest reading on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome amid real-money positioning. Evening observations showed temperatures cooling to 22°C under partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, aligning with typical May diurnal cycles where minima average 23–24°C but can dip lower during radiative cooling nights. Climatological data supports this as plausible for early May, with no significant cold air advection. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event, limited to rare station data audits revealing overlooked lower readings from automated weather stations, though resolution criteria prioritize King's Park verified data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 3 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 3 maggio?
22°C 100.0%
15°C o inferiore <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$32,085 Vol.
$32,085 Vol.
3 mag 2026
15°C o inferiore
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Sì
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C o superiore
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C o inferiore <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$32,085 Vol.
$32,085 Vol.
3 mag 2026
15°C o inferiore
$490 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,546 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,374 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,425 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,352 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,210 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,371 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,070 Vol.
Sì
23°C
$5,830 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,123 Vol.
No
25°C o superiore
$5,294 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements at King's Park—the authoritative reference station for daily minimum air temperatures—recorded 22°C as the lowest reading on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome amid real-money positioning. Evening observations showed temperatures cooling to 22°C under partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, aligning with typical May diurnal cycles where minima average 23–24°C but can dip lower during radiative cooling nights. Climatological data supports this as plausible for early May, with no significant cold air advection. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event, limited to rare station data audits revealing overlooked lower readings from automated weather stations, though resolution criteria prioritize King's Park verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$32,085Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements at King's Park—the authoritative reference station for daily minimum air temperatures—recorded 22°C as the lowest reading on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome amid real-money positioning. Evening observations showed temperatures cooling to 22°C under partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, aligning with typical May diurnal cycles where minima average 23–24°C but can dip lower during radiative cooling nights. Climatological data supports this as plausible for early May, with no significant cold air advection. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event, limited to rare station data audits revealing overlooked lower readings from automated weather stations, though resolution criteria prioritize King's Park verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32,085Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements at King's Park—the authoritative reference station for daily minimum air temperatures—recorded 22°C as the lowest reading on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome amid real-money positioning. Evening observations showed temperatures cooling to 22°C under partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, aligning with typical May diurnal cycles where minima average 23–24°C but can dip lower during radiative cooling nights. Climatological data supports this as plausible for early May, with no significant cold air advection. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event, limited to rare station data audits revealing overlooked lower readings from automated weather stations, though resolution criteria prioritize King's Park verified data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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