Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in Istanbul on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of scattered showers and northerly winds of 10-15 mph. This consensus supports the market's tight clustering of probabilities around 18-22°C outcomes. Differentiation among bins stems from model spread on nocturnal radiative cooling—clearer intervals could allow drops toward 18°C or below, while persistent cloud cover and light precipitation would moderate lows closer to 21-23°C. Historical September minima average near 17°C, but recent warmer anomalies and the short forecast horizon keep implied odds balanced between moderate and outlier scenarios ahead of final overnight readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 13 settembre?
15°C o inferiore 88%
25°C o superiore 88%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
15°C o inferiore
88%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
22%
19°C
24%
20°C
23%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
18%
25°C o superiore
88%
15°C o inferiore 88%
25°C o superiore 88%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
15°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
88%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
40%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$5 Vol.
24%
20°C
$0 Vol.
23%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
40%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in Istanbul on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of scattered showers and northerly winds of 10-15 mph. This consensus supports the market's tight clustering of probabilities around 18-22°C outcomes. Differentiation among bins stems from model spread on nocturnal radiative cooling—clearer intervals could allow drops toward 18°C or below, while persistent cloud cover and light precipitation would moderate lows closer to 21-23°C. Historical September minima average near 17°C, but recent warmer anomalies and the short forecast horizon keep implied odds balanced between moderate and outlier scenarios ahead of final overnight readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$5Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in Istanbul on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of scattered showers and northerly winds of 10-15 mph. This consensus supports the market's tight clustering of probabilities around 18-22°C outcomes. Differentiation among bins stems from model spread on nocturnal radiative cooling—clearer intervals could allow drops toward 18°C or below, while persistent cloud cover and light precipitation would moderate lows closer to 21-23°C. Historical September minima average near 17°C, but recent warmer anomalies and the short forecast horizon keep implied odds balanced between moderate and outlier scenarios ahead of final overnight readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in Istanbul on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of scattered showers and northerly winds of 10-15 mph. This consensus supports the market's tight clustering of probabilities around 18-22°C outcomes. Differentiation among bins stems from model spread on nocturnal radiative cooling—clearer intervals could allow drops toward 18°C or below, while persistent cloud cover and light precipitation would moderate lows closer to 21-23°C. Historical September minima average near 17°C, but recent warmer anomalies and the short forecast horizon keep implied odds balanced between moderate and outlier scenarios ahead of final overnight readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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