Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models point to a minimum temperature of 13–15°C for London on August 31 under a moderate westerly flow. Persistent cloud cover and 10–15 mph winds are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near or slightly above seasonal norms rather than allowing clearer skies to produce sharper drops. This setup supports the tight market clustering around 15–16°C, while any late-model shift toward reduced cloud or lighter winds could favor the 14°C outcome. Updated runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 31 agosto?
15°C 39%
16°C 37%
13°C 17%
12°C 15%
10°C o inferiore
2%
11°C
13%
12°C
15%
13°C
17%
14°C
15%
15°C
39%
16°C
37%
17°C
13%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C o superiore
14%
15°C 39%
16°C 37%
13°C 17%
12°C 15%
10°C o inferiore
2%
11°C
13%
12°C
15%
13°C
17%
14°C
15%
15°C
39%
16°C
37%
17°C
13%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C o superiore
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models point to a minimum temperature of 13–15°C for London on August 31 under a moderate westerly flow. Persistent cloud cover and 10–15 mph winds are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near or slightly above seasonal norms rather than allowing clearer skies to produce sharper drops. This setup supports the tight market clustering around 15–16°C, while any late-model shift toward reduced cloud or lighter winds could favor the 14°C outcome. Updated runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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