Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 2 will likely settle near 14–16°C, driven by a shift to southwesterly flow bringing milder air while increased cloud cover and light showers limit radiative cooling. Recent forecasts from multiple agencies show daytime highs around 20–22°C moderating to these minima, with minor model spread arising from variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. This aligns with early-September climatology but above the long-term average low of ~10.5°C, as southerly advection offsets typical seasonal cooling. Traders see balanced odds across the 13–20°C range due to remaining uncertainty in exact minimum timing and local wind effects ahead of tomorrow's data updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Mosca il 2 settembre?
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
15°C 100%
17°C 100%
11°C or below
8%
12°C
92%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C
-
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C
100%
20°C
-
21°C or higher
8%
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
15°C 100%
17°C 100%
11°C or below
8%
12°C
92%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C
-
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C
100%
20°C
-
21°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 2 will likely settle near 14–16°C, driven by a shift to southwesterly flow bringing milder air while increased cloud cover and light showers limit radiative cooling. Recent forecasts from multiple agencies show daytime highs around 20–22°C moderating to these minima, with minor model spread arising from variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. This aligns with early-September climatology but above the long-term average low of ~10.5°C, as southerly advection offsets typical seasonal cooling. Traders see balanced odds across the 13–20°C range due to remaining uncertainty in exact minimum timing and local wind effects ahead of tomorrow's data updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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