Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional meteorological centers indicate Moscow's September 24 low will likely fall between 11–13°C amid persistent cloud cover, southerly winds, and periods of light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. This narrow band fuels the near-even split between the 6°C-or-below and 16°C-or-higher outcomes, as small shifts in timing or intensity of showers could push the minimum either way. Historical September minima average near 8–10°C, but current atmospheric conditions favor milder readings unless a stronger cold front arrives earlier than projected. Updated model runs and official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance expected later today will likely clarify the range before the market resolves.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Mosca il 24 settembre?
6°C o inferiore 98%
16°C o superiore 97%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
6°C o inferiore
98%
7°C
18%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
22%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C o superiore
97%
6°C o inferiore 98%
16°C o superiore 97%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
6°C o inferiore
98%
7°C
18%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
22%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C o superiore
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional meteorological centers indicate Moscow's September 24 low will likely fall between 11–13°C amid persistent cloud cover, southerly winds, and periods of light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. This narrow band fuels the near-even split between the 6°C-or-below and 16°C-or-higher outcomes, as small shifts in timing or intensity of showers could push the minimum either way. Historical September minima average near 8–10°C, but current atmospheric conditions favor milder readings unless a stronger cold front arrives earlier than projected. Updated model runs and official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance expected later today will likely clarify the range before the market resolves.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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