**Trader consensus strongly favors 14°C as Munich’s lowest temperature on August 27, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 99%.** This positioning reflects consensus from operational forecast models showing overnight minima near 14°C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and typical late-summer radiational cooling at the Munich station elevation. Daytime highs reached 27–30°C, consistent with seasonal norms, while the nocturnal drop aligns with current surface observations and model guidance. Historical August 27 lows average about 13°C, but recent stable high-pressure conditions have supported this specific threshold. Unlikely challengers include rapid cloud buildup or unforecast warm-air advection that could lift the minimum above 15°C, though model agreement and ongoing observations limit such variance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Monaco di Baviera il 27 agosto?
14°C 99.4%
13°C 3%
11°C 2%
12°C 2%
$2,193 Vol.
$2,193 Vol.
10°C or below
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.4%
13°C 3%
11°C 2%
12°C 2%
$2,193 Vol.
$2,193 Vol.
10°C or below
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 14°C as Munich’s lowest temperature on August 27, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 99%.** This positioning reflects consensus from operational forecast models showing overnight minima near 14°C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and typical late-summer radiational cooling at the Munich station elevation. Daytime highs reached 27–30°C, consistent with seasonal norms, while the nocturnal drop aligns with current surface observations and model guidance. Historical August 27 lows average about 13°C, but recent stable high-pressure conditions have supported this specific threshold. Unlikely challengers include rapid cloud buildup or unforecast warm-air advection that could lift the minimum above 15°C, though model agreement and ongoing observations limit such variance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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