Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and European guidance point to overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected across Munich on September 16, moderating the diurnal temperature range and supporting a minimum near 11–12 °C. These conditions align with the market-implied odds favoring 11 °C or 12 °C, as elevated humidity and light southwesterly winds limit further drops below the seasonal average low of 10 °C while preventing warmer readings. Key variables include the timing of precipitation onset and any model spread in boundary-layer moisture, with updated runs from monitoring agencies likely to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Monaco il 16 settembre?
11°C 30%
9°C 9%
10°C 9%
8°C o inferiore <1%
8°C o inferiore
<1%
9°C
9%
10°C
9%
11°C
30%
12°C
38%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o superiore
<1%
11°C 30%
9°C 9%
10°C 9%
8°C o inferiore <1%
8°C o inferiore
<1%
9°C
9%
10°C
9%
11°C
30%
12°C
38%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and European guidance point to overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected across Munich on September 16, moderating the diurnal temperature range and supporting a minimum near 11–12 °C. These conditions align with the market-implied odds favoring 11 °C or 12 °C, as elevated humidity and light southwesterly winds limit further drops below the seasonal average low of 10 °C while preventing warmer readings. Key variables include the timing of precipitation onset and any model spread in boundary-layer moisture, with updated runs from monitoring agencies likely to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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