**Forecast models from GFS and ECMWF currently indicate an overnight minimum near 13–14°C in Paris on September 11 under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, driving the market's heaviest weighting toward those outcomes.** Nocturnal radiative cooling will be moderated by cloud cover and modest humidity, limiting the potential for sharper drops below 12°C that would require clearer skies and calmer conditions. Recent surface analyses show no strong cold advection, keeping probabilities for 10°C or below low at 3%. Traders weigh model consensus on cloud trends and any last-minute adjustments from Météo-France or ECMWF runs before resolution, with historical early-September Paris lows averaging near 13°C providing context for the spread across 11–16°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Parigi l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Parigi l'11 settembre?
14°C 40%
13°C 39%
12°C 17%
15°C 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
6%
11°C
16%
12°C
17%
13°C
30%
14°C
40%
15°C
17%
16°C
14%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C o superiore
3%
14°C 40%
13°C 39%
12°C 17%
15°C 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
6%
11°C
$0 Vol.
16%
12°C
$0 Vol.
17%
13°C
$480 Vol.
30%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C
$0 Vol.
14%
17°C
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
3%
20°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from GFS and ECMWF currently indicate an overnight minimum near 13–14°C in Paris on September 11 under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, driving the market's heaviest weighting toward those outcomes.** Nocturnal radiative cooling will be moderated by cloud cover and modest humidity, limiting the potential for sharper drops below 12°C that would require clearer skies and calmer conditions. Recent surface analyses show no strong cold advection, keeping probabilities for 10°C or below low at 3%. Traders weigh model consensus on cloud trends and any last-minute adjustments from Météo-France or ECMWF runs before resolution, with historical early-September Paris lows averaging near 13°C providing context for the spread across 11–16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$480Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from GFS and ECMWF currently indicate an overnight minimum near 13–14°C in Paris on September 11 under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, driving the market's heaviest weighting toward those outcomes.** Nocturnal radiative cooling will be moderated by cloud cover and modest humidity, limiting the potential for sharper drops below 12°C that would require clearer skies and calmer conditions. Recent surface analyses show no strong cold advection, keeping probabilities for 10°C or below low at 3%. Traders weigh model consensus on cloud trends and any last-minute adjustments from Météo-France or ECMWF runs before resolution, with historical early-September Paris lows averaging near 13°C providing context for the spread across 11–16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$480Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from GFS and ECMWF currently indicate an overnight minimum near 13–14°C in Paris on September 11 under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, driving the market's heaviest weighting toward those outcomes.** Nocturnal radiative cooling will be moderated by cloud cover and modest humidity, limiting the potential for sharper drops below 12°C that would require clearer skies and calmer conditions. Recent surface analyses show no strong cold advection, keeping probabilities for 10°C or below low at 3%. Traders weigh model consensus on cloud trends and any last-minute adjustments from Météo-France or ECMWF runs before resolution, with historical early-September Paris lows averaging near 13°C providing context for the spread across 11–16°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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