Recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts for Incheon on August 20 indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with a 30% chance of showers, consistent with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome. Nearby days show overnight lows of 23–24°C amid persistent summer humidity that limits radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region places average lows near 22–23°C, with current model consensus holding slightly above normal due to stable high-pressure patterns and minimal frontal influence. Trader positioning around 24–25°C reflects this alignment with official guidance, while lower probabilities for 23°C or below account for possible model revisions or localized cooling from overnight precipitation. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could shift these implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 20 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 20 agosto?
25°C 50%
26°C 19%
27°C 6%
23°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
31%
25°C
50%
26°C
19%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 50%
26°C 19%
27°C 6%
23°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
$50 Vol.
1%
21°C
$15 Vol.
2%
22°C
$3 Vol.
4%
23°C
$20 Vol.
5%
24°C
$50 Vol.
31%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$98 Vol.
6%
28°C
$20 Vol.
1%
29°C
$67 Vol.
1%
30°C o superiore
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts for Incheon on August 20 indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with a 30% chance of showers, consistent with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome. Nearby days show overnight lows of 23–24°C amid persistent summer humidity that limits radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region places average lows near 22–23°C, with current model consensus holding slightly above normal due to stable high-pressure patterns and minimal frontal influence. Trader positioning around 24–25°C reflects this alignment with official guidance, while lower probabilities for 23°C or below account for possible model revisions or localized cooling from overnight precipitation. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$614Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts for Incheon on August 20 indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with a 30% chance of showers, consistent with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome. Nearby days show overnight lows of 23–24°C amid persistent summer humidity that limits radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region places average lows near 22–23°C, with current model consensus holding slightly above normal due to stable high-pressure patterns and minimal frontal influence. Trader positioning around 24–25°C reflects this alignment with official guidance, while lower probabilities for 23°C or below account for possible model revisions or localized cooling from overnight precipitation. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$614Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts for Incheon on August 20 indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with a 30% chance of showers, consistent with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome. Nearby days show overnight lows of 23–24°C amid persistent summer humidity that limits radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region places average lows near 22–23°C, with current model consensus holding slightly above normal due to stable high-pressure patterns and minimal frontal influence. Trader positioning around 24–25°C reflects this alignment with official guidance, while lower probabilities for 23°C or below account for possible model revisions or localized cooling from overnight precipitation. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could shift these implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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