**Market-implied odds show tight clustering around 27–28°C or higher, reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight minimum temperature forecasts for Singapore on September 14.** In Singapore’s equatorial climate, the daily minimum is primarily driven by the balance of radiative cooling under clear skies versus insulation from cloud cover and humidity, modulated by light southeasterly winds and sea-breeze effects. Recent model guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with a chance of showers, which would limit nocturnal cooling and support minima near 27°C—slightly above the long-term September average of roughly 25–26°C. Higher outcomes gain traction if reduced cloudiness allows stronger radiative losses, while the modest probability attached to 22°C or below aligns with the rarity of such extremes given the strong maritime moderation. Traders are closely watching the next updated model runs and official observations from stations such as Changi, as even small shifts in cloud or precipitation forecasts can alter the realized low.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Singapore il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Singapore il 14 settembre?
32°C o superiore 56%
22°C o inferiore 48%
28°C 40%
25°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
48%
23°C
13%
24°C
5%
25°C
21%
26°C
24%
27°C
30%
28°C
33%
29°C
39%
30°C
17%
31°C
17%
32°C o superiore
56%
32°C o superiore 56%
22°C o inferiore 48%
28°C 40%
25°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
48%
23°C
$0 Vol.
13%
24°C
$20 Vol.
5%
25°C
$13 Vol.
21%
26°C
$13 Vol.
24%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$5 Vol.
33%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C
$0 Vol.
17%
31°C
$0 Vol.
17%
32°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds show tight clustering around 27–28°C or higher, reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight minimum temperature forecasts for Singapore on September 14.** In Singapore’s equatorial climate, the daily minimum is primarily driven by the balance of radiative cooling under clear skies versus insulation from cloud cover and humidity, modulated by light southeasterly winds and sea-breeze effects. Recent model guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with a chance of showers, which would limit nocturnal cooling and support minima near 27°C—slightly above the long-term September average of roughly 25–26°C. Higher outcomes gain traction if reduced cloudiness allows stronger radiative losses, while the modest probability attached to 22°C or below aligns with the rarity of such extremes given the strong maritime moderation. Traders are closely watching the next updated model runs and official observations from stations such as Changi, as even small shifts in cloud or precipitation forecasts can alter the realized low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$51Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds show tight clustering around 27–28°C or higher, reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight minimum temperature forecasts for Singapore on September 14.** In Singapore’s equatorial climate, the daily minimum is primarily driven by the balance of radiative cooling under clear skies versus insulation from cloud cover and humidity, modulated by light southeasterly winds and sea-breeze effects. Recent model guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with a chance of showers, which would limit nocturnal cooling and support minima near 27°C—slightly above the long-term September average of roughly 25–26°C. Higher outcomes gain traction if reduced cloudiness allows stronger radiative losses, while the modest probability attached to 22°C or below aligns with the rarity of such extremes given the strong maritime moderation. Traders are closely watching the next updated model runs and official observations from stations such as Changi, as even small shifts in cloud or precipitation forecasts can alter the realized low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds show tight clustering around 27–28°C or higher, reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight minimum temperature forecasts for Singapore on September 14.** In Singapore’s equatorial climate, the daily minimum is primarily driven by the balance of radiative cooling under clear skies versus insulation from cloud cover and humidity, modulated by light southeasterly winds and sea-breeze effects. Recent model guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with a chance of showers, which would limit nocturnal cooling and support minima near 27°C—slightly above the long-term September average of roughly 25–26°C. Higher outcomes gain traction if reduced cloudiness allows stronger radiative losses, while the modest probability attached to 22°C or below aligns with the rarity of such extremes given the strong maritime moderation. Traders are closely watching the next updated model runs and official observations from stations such as Changi, as even small shifts in cloud or precipitation forecasts can alter the realized low.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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