Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will reach a daily high of 29–30°C on September 13 under clear skies and light northerly winds, with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 30°C (32%) and 31°C (28%), reflecting minor differences in model timing of peak heating and boundary-layer mixing. Dry autumn air masses and a building high-pressure ridge support efficient solar warming, yet seasonal cooling and modest winds keep values near the historical September average of roughly 27°C. Traders weigh the latest ensemble runs and any last-minute adjustments from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, as even small shifts in cloud cover or wind could push the observed maximum across the narrow 29–31°C threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Pechino il 13 settembre?
30°C 34%
31°C 28%
29°C 19%
28°C 9%
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
19%
30°C
29%
31°C
28%
32°C
12%
33°C
9%
34°C o superiore
<1%
30°C 34%
31°C 28%
29°C 19%
28°C 9%
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
19%
30°C
29%
31°C
28%
32°C
12%
33°C
9%
34°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will reach a daily high of 29–30°C on September 13 under clear skies and light northerly winds, with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 30°C (32%) and 31°C (28%), reflecting minor differences in model timing of peak heating and boundary-layer mixing. Dry autumn air masses and a building high-pressure ridge support efficient solar warming, yet seasonal cooling and modest winds keep values near the historical September average of roughly 27°C. Traders weigh the latest ensemble runs and any last-minute adjustments from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, as even small shifts in cloud cover or wind could push the observed maximum across the narrow 29–31°C threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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