Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data positions a maximum of 27°C as the most probable outcome for Tokyo on September 13, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions limiting daytime heating. This aligns with September climatological averages near 27°C and current observations showing no strong warm advection or clearing that would push temperatures higher. Market-implied probabilities favor 27°C (43%) and 26°C (25.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model guidance showing afternoon peaks around 27–28°C with low precipitation risk. Updated runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and additional observational data later today will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tokyo il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Tokyo il 13 settembre?
27°C 41%
26°C 27%
28°C 16%
25°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
27%
27°C
41%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C o superiore
1%
27°C 41%
26°C 27%
28°C 16%
25°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$1,353 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,146 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$279 Vol.
2%
24°C
$80 Vol.
4%
25°C
$471 Vol.
7%
26°C
$716 Vol.
27%
27°C
$1,706 Vol.
41%
28°C
$1,275 Vol.
16%
29°C
$460 Vol.
4%
30°C
$606 Vol.
2%
31°C o superiore
$367 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data positions a maximum of 27°C as the most probable outcome for Tokyo on September 13, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions limiting daytime heating. This aligns with September climatological averages near 27°C and current observations showing no strong warm advection or clearing that would push temperatures higher. Market-implied probabilities favor 27°C (43%) and 26°C (25.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model guidance showing afternoon peaks around 27–28°C with low precipitation risk. Updated runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and additional observational data later today will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,458Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data positions a maximum of 27°C as the most probable outcome for Tokyo on September 13, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions limiting daytime heating. This aligns with September climatological averages near 27°C and current observations showing no strong warm advection or clearing that would push temperatures higher. Market-implied probabilities favor 27°C (43%) and 26°C (25.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model guidance showing afternoon peaks around 27–28°C with low precipitation risk. Updated runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and additional observational data later today will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,458Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data positions a maximum of 27°C as the most probable outcome for Tokyo on September 13, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions limiting daytime heating. This aligns with September climatological averages near 27°C and current observations showing no strong warm advection or clearing that would push temperatures higher. Market-implied probabilities favor 27°C (43%) and 26°C (25.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model guidance showing afternoon peaks around 27–28°C with low precipitation risk. Updated runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and additional observational data later today will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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