Recent forecast model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C in Tel Aviv on August 22, driven by stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and elevated overnight humidity near 75–85% that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with above-average conditions for late August, where typical lows hover near 24°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C reflects uncertainty over exact station readings and minor model spread in dew-point forecasts, while lower-probability outcomes below 23°C would require stronger onshore flow or clearer skies than currently indicated. Updated runs tonight will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Tel Aviv il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Tel Aviv il 22 agosto?
26°C 35%
25°C 34%
27°C 26%
24°C 1.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
22°C or below
-
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
34%
26°C
35%
27°C
26%
28°C
34%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
25°C 34%
27°C 26%
24°C 1.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
22°C or below
$104 Vol.
-
23°C
$103 Vol.
1%
24°C
$99 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$0 Vol.
35%
27°C
$1 Vol.
26%
28°C
$11 Vol.
34%
29°C
$169 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$792 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$729 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C in Tel Aviv on August 22, driven by stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and elevated overnight humidity near 75–85% that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with above-average conditions for late August, where typical lows hover near 24°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C reflects uncertainty over exact station readings and minor model spread in dew-point forecasts, while lower-probability outcomes below 23°C would require stronger onshore flow or clearer skies than currently indicated. Updated runs tonight will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$2,316Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C in Tel Aviv on August 22, driven by stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and elevated overnight humidity near 75–85% that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with above-average conditions for late August, where typical lows hover near 24°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C reflects uncertainty over exact station readings and minor model spread in dew-point forecasts, while lower-probability outcomes below 23°C would require stronger onshore flow or clearer skies than currently indicated. Updated runs tonight will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,316Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C in Tel Aviv on August 22, driven by stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and elevated overnight humidity near 75–85% that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with above-average conditions for late August, where typical lows hover near 24°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C reflects uncertainty over exact station readings and minor model spread in dew-point forecasts, while lower-probability outcomes below 23°C would require stronger onshore flow or clearer skies than currently indicated. Updated runs tonight will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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