Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro faces four federal counts in SDNY, including narcoterrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons possession, stemming from a January 2026 superseding indictment; he and co-defendant wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty after U.S. capture in Caracas. A March 26 hearing before Judge Alvin Hellerstein rejected defense motions to dismiss over blocked Venezuelan funds for legal fees—despite judicial skepticism of sanctions—allowing pretrial proceedings to advance amid discovery and scheduling. Traders' 78.5% "No" consensus reflects the narcoterrorism statute's poor trial record (few convictions, most pleas), evidentiary hurdles in absentia-style cases, and Maduro's denial of charges as political persecution, with no verdict timeline set.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$101,343 Vol.
$101,343 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Sì
$101,343 Vol.
$101,343 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro faces four federal counts in SDNY, including narcoterrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons possession, stemming from a January 2026 superseding indictment; he and co-defendant wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty after U.S. capture in Caracas. A March 26 hearing before Judge Alvin Hellerstein rejected defense motions to dismiss over blocked Venezuelan funds for legal fees—despite judicial skepticism of sanctions—allowing pretrial proceedings to advance amid discovery and scheduling. Traders' 78.5% "No" consensus reflects the narcoterrorism statute's poor trial record (few convictions, most pleas), evidentiary hurdles in absentia-style cases, and Maduro's denial of charges as political persecution, with no verdict timeline set.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$101,343Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro faces four federal counts in SDNY, including narcoterrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons possession, stemming from a January 2026 superseding indictment; he and co-defendant wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty after U.S. capture in Caracas. A March 26 hearing before Judge Alvin Hellerstein rejected defense motions to dismiss over blocked Venezuelan funds for legal fees—despite judicial skepticism of sanctions—allowing pretrial proceedings to advance amid discovery and scheduling. Traders' 78.5% "No" consensus reflects the narcoterrorism statute's poor trial record (few convictions, most pleas), evidentiary hurdles in absentia-style cases, and Maduro's denial of charges as political persecution, with no verdict timeline set.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$101,343Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro faces four federal counts in SDNY, including narcoterrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons possession, stemming from a January 2026 superseding indictment; he and co-defendant wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty after U.S. capture in Caracas. A March 26 hearing before Judge Alvin Hellerstein rejected defense motions to dismiss over blocked Venezuelan funds for legal fees—despite judicial skepticism of sanctions—allowing pretrial proceedings to advance amid discovery and scheduling. Traders' 78.5% "No" consensus reflects the narcoterrorism statute's poor trial record (few convictions, most pleas), evidentiary hurdles in absentia-style cases, and Maduro's denial of charges as political persecution, with no verdict timeline set.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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