The Piauí Senate race for two seats remains fluid ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent July polls from AtlasIntel and others showing Marcelo Castro (MDB) holding a narrow lead in first-preference voting while Ciro Nogueira (PP) and Júlio César (PSD) trade positions in the battle for second. A crowded field of more than a dozen pre-candidates fragments support and keeps margins tight among the top contenders, as voters weigh incumbency records, party alliances, and regional priorities. Trader consensus on second place reflects this polling volatility and the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or major endorsements that would consolidate preferences. Further separation could emerge from intensified campaigning, coalition negotiations, or additional surveys tracking second-vote preferences in the coming weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni al Senato del Piauí: 2° posto
Marcelo Castro 43%
Ciro Nogueira 43%
Jardenya Bezerra 43%
Pastore Sena 43%

Marcelo Castro
43%

Ciro Nogueira
43%

Jardenya Bezerra
43%

Pastore Sena
43%

Pedro Laurentino
42%

Maggiore Paulo Roberto
42%

Missionário Evandro Craveiro
42%

Jorge Lopes
41%

Julio Cesar
37%

Tiago Junqueira
37%

Cloves José
37%

Danniel Rocha
37%

Irmão Evandro Marques
37%

Antônio Barros
37%

Dionisio Carvalho
37%

Alexandre Mariano
34%

Antônio José Lira
26%

Maria Madalena Nunes
26%

Francinaldo Leão
25%

Toinho Dufrango
25%
Marcelo Castro 43%
Ciro Nogueira 43%
Jardenya Bezerra 43%
Pastore Sena 43%

Marcelo Castro
43%

Ciro Nogueira
43%

Jardenya Bezerra
43%

Pastore Sena
43%

Pedro Laurentino
42%

Maggiore Paulo Roberto
42%

Missionário Evandro Craveiro
42%

Jorge Lopes
41%

Julio Cesar
37%

Tiago Junqueira
37%

Cloves José
37%

Danniel Rocha
37%

Irmão Evandro Marques
37%

Antônio Barros
37%

Dionisio Carvalho
37%

Alexandre Mariano
34%

Antônio José Lira
26%

Maria Madalena Nunes
26%

Francinaldo Leão
25%

Toinho Dufrango
25%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Piauí Senate race for two seats remains fluid ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent July polls from AtlasIntel and others showing Marcelo Castro (MDB) holding a narrow lead in first-preference voting while Ciro Nogueira (PP) and Júlio César (PSD) trade positions in the battle for second. A crowded field of more than a dozen pre-candidates fragments support and keeps margins tight among the top contenders, as voters weigh incumbency records, party alliances, and regional priorities. Trader consensus on second place reflects this polling volatility and the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or major endorsements that would consolidate preferences. Further separation could emerge from intensified campaigning, coalition negotiations, or additional surveys tracking second-vote preferences in the coming weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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