Skip to main content
Market icon
Politica·Espellere

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

Market icon
Politica·Espellere

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

72% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
72% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 71.5% implied probability that Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL) will cease serving as U.S. Representative from Florida's 20th Congressional District by May 31, propelled by the House Ethics Committee's late March finding of more than two dozen violations, including misusing $5 million in FEMA disaster relief funds for campaign purposes. Bipartisan pressure for resignation or expulsion has mounted, with Speaker Mike Johnson predicting a House floor vote soon and Rep. Anna Paulina Luna signaling certain ouster if she refuses to step down. An April 21 Ethics Committee hearing will recommend sanctions, amid her ongoing federal fraud trial delayed to February 2027 and emerging Democratic primary challengers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,847
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 71.5% implied probability that Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL) will cease serving as U.S. Representative from Florida's 20th Congressional District by May 31, propelled by the House Ethics Committee's late March finding of more than two dozen violations, including misusing $5 million in FEMA disaster relief funds for campaign purposes. Bipartisan pressure for resignation or expulsion has mounted, with Speaker Mike Johnson predicting a House floor vote soon and Rep. Anna Paulina Luna signaling certain ouster if she refuses to step down. An April 21 Ethics Committee hearing will recommend sanctions, amid her ongoing federal fraud trial delayed to February 2027 and emerging Democratic primary challengers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,847
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 72% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 72¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 72% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 13, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?" è 72% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 72% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.