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icon for Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

icon for Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

>99% probabilità
Polymarket

$15,203 Vol.

>99% probabilità
Polymarket

$15,203 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-Fla.) resigned from her seat in Florida's 20th Congressional District effective immediately on April 21, 2026, moments before a House Ethics Committee hearing on potential sanctions, driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" on her exit by May 31. This followed her January federal indictment on charges of stealing $5 million in FEMA COVID-19 disaster funds for her 2022 campaign, prompting bipartisan calls for resignation or expulsion from members like Reps. Anna Paulina Luna and Tim Burchett. The ethics panel's findings of House rule violations sealed her departure, leaving a vacancy ahead of a likely special election. While reversal is theoretically possible via House acceptance denial, no such precedent exists amid confirmed resignation and ongoing prosecution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,203
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-Fla.) resigned from her seat in Florida's 20th Congressional District effective immediately on April 21, 2026, moments before a House Ethics Committee hearing on potential sanctions, driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" on her exit by May 31. This followed her January federal indictment on charges of stealing $5 million in FEMA COVID-19 disaster funds for her 2022 campaign, prompting bipartisan calls for resignation or expulsion from members like Reps. Anna Paulina Luna and Tim Burchett. The ethics panel's findings of House rule violations sealed her departure, leaving a vacancy ahead of a likely special election. While reversal is theoretically possible via House acceptance denial, no such precedent exists amid confirmed resignation and ongoing prosecution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,203
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

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Domande frequenti

"Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 100% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 100¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?" ha generato $15.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 13, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?" è 100% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 100% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.